“The 2006 numbers were inflated because of GOP defections...”
You hope. Polling, wise, it is always best to use the most recent turnout numbers. And there was more than Foley at work in 2006, much more.
The Pubbie base may be energized, although I would guess a bit deflated after the events of the past week, but after 8 years of their arch nemesis in the White House, so is the Dem base, something Freepers completely ignore.
With right track/wrong track numbes in 10/80 range (down from 25/70), the party gap is probably rising fast.
After all, some of the new “wrong track” converts are disapponted R’s, and quite a few of them are going I or even D now.
“....but after 8 years of their arch nemesis in the White House, so is the Dem base, something Freepers completely ignore....”
Seriously? They brought consecutive record turnouts! In 2004 they would have sold their first borns collectively to beat Bush.
Nobody is underestimating their turnout. We’re saying they haven’t moved the entire electorate 6%.