38% dem and 33% GOP.
Barack soundly ahead, and a 15-point-ish swing in VA in one Election?
unlikely.
Bush won VA with 8.2% lead in 2004. McCain might not come close to that but has a pretty good chance.
Mark Warner is very popular there and his coattails are giving Obama a decent chance there but 30% of his voters are voting for McCain so think MCcain will pull it out in VA