Latest: Dick Morris' 2008 Election Map Shows Big Shift for McCain

Newsmax.com ^ | 9/20/08 | Dick Morris

[DogBarkTree]

There was a gigantic turn toward John McCain in the two weeks immediately after the GOP convention. In large part this was due to the Sarah Palin nomination, and the tremendous miscalculation by the Democrats in attacking Palin — particularly on issues important to women, such as her caring for her children. That backfired massively. The anti-Palin attack by the Democrats showed a cultural disconnect with America that is remarkable.

[DogBarkTree]

I know Dick doesnt have the greatest record of accuracy with his predictions but I dare say this map is fairly close to reality.

[DogBarkTree]

McCain’s Numbers

222

delegates for McCain

+ 68

leaning McCain

290

McCain

Obama’s Numbers

146

delegates for Obama

+ 26

leaning Obama

172

Obama

[NoGrayZone]

Thanks a lot! I just love seeing my state a “dark blue”....uggghhhhh!!!

[chris_bdba]

I only want to see tiny little blue dots just every here and there come Nov! You know more like freckles. :)

[Maelstorm]

Things will be closer for a while as things settle but one fact that is still true. McCain has shown he can be competitive in far more Democrat favored states than the other way around.

[wk4bush2004]

I really hope we can win WA, OR, MN, WI, MI, and PA, along with the others that we’ve got! If we win any or all of those “blue-states,” Obama won’t have a chance!

[Charles Martel]

Oregon and washington are tossup states? That’s a bit to optimistic, IMO.

[padre35]

Maybe, there are some serious unknowns right now such as the Debates and the Wilder Effect and even the Hillary/Zogby Effect on Sarah Palin.

[Chet 99]

I’m getting worried if Dick Morris is predicting a McCain win since it is usually the exact oppose of whatever Morris predicts.

[I got the rope]

OH NO!!!! MCCAIN IS SURE TO LOSE NOW!!!

[Pondo]

and it has Colorado as strongly McCain, I haven’t seen that poll out there that shows it in the safe category

[FrankR]

I only want to see tiny little blue dots just every here and there come Nov! You know more like freckles. :) ."

You're thinking of the "county" level map from 2004...I don't think we'll know at that level until after the election.

[Read2Know]

"Thanks a lot! I just love seeing my state a “dark blue”....uggghhhhh!!!"

I live in the southern Adirondacks, I feel your shame.

[drzz]

Colorado is not strongly McCain at all. Dick is wrong.

[drzz]

And Oregon is leaning Obama for sure.

[Aria]

As a Pacific Northwest resident I’d have to say that Oregon and Washington are at least “leaning Obama”. I have yet to see a McCain/Palin bumper sticker....other than my own.

[Sooth2222]

I’m getting worried if Dick Morris is predicting a McCain win since it is usually the exact oppose of whatever Morris predicts.

So am I. I think he made a bet that the election was going to be Clinton v. Rice.

The numbers clearly don't reflect the last week's economic crisis. So McCain's numbers should go down. They also don't reflect the market's assumed solution to the crisis, and that 800 point rally on the Dow. Which should make his numbers go back up.

[NoGrayZone]

Lol, Long Island here. So embarrassing!

[NYC Republican]

Folks- be wary. This map is irrelevant... It was done when McCain was ahead by 4... Now that he behind about 2 or 3, take about 6 points off of each state, and the Blue states will flip back to blue, accordingly

[Tigercap]

I haven’t seen ANY poll showing McCain winning Iowa. I wish it would happen, but Morris’ map is strikingly different there.