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Gallup Daily: Obama 48% McCain 44%
Gallup ^

Posted on 09/18/2008 10:09:23 AM PDT by CatOwner

See link.

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; electionpresident; gallup; mccainpalin
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To: CatOwner
See link.

I don't do polls. No exceptions.

Well, maybe one; post-Election Day.

61 posted on 09/18/2008 12:04:53 PM PDT by Publius6961 (Change is not a plan; Hope is not a strategy.)
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To: LegionofDorkness

Gallup/CNN/USA Today U.S. Poll: Kerry 49%, Bush 48%

http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/view/gallup_cnn_usa_today_us_poll_kerry_49_bush_48/

OCTOBER 12, 2004


62 posted on 09/18/2008 12:06:00 PM PDT by Pan_Yan (All gray areas are fabrications.)
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To: TitansAFC
There is nothing to indicate a tsunami of Obama support happening in that short period of time.

Well, it did in Hollywood. Last night. While every normal American was wondering about his financial future,

To the tune of 8 million $, I understand.
We all know how important Hollywood is...

< /sarc >

63 posted on 09/18/2008 12:07:40 PM PDT by Publius6961 (Change is not a plan; Hope is not a strategy.)
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To: truthandlife

This is what doesn’t make sense with these national polls.. the internals still keep showing Fauxbama losing support across nearly every demographic, yet they show the race tigtening. This is in spite of state polls that continue to show McCain momentum (and please stop the delay between state and national polls, I’m not buying it, as several battleground state polls have come out over the same timeframe and aren’t showing any major tightening.)

Something variable is out of whack somewhere, its not being captured, or not being captured effectively by either a pleathera of state polls, or the handful of daily national tracking polls. I am not suggesting the pollsters are lying about what they are getting in their polling, just that something is going on that they aren’t capturing.

Other than large support moves in already blue states, (increased depth of support for Fauxbama in states he’s already holding) suddenly appearing, this doesn’t add up to me.

Fauxbama does not have a 4 point lead in this race nationally, no way in hell. Somethings going on that’s just not being captured, and I’m a bit confused as to what it could be.


64 posted on 09/18/2008 12:15:12 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: Red in Blue PA

RE: “And yet the Battleground states are as strong as ever for McCain?!?!”

A few things to remember: This is a GALLUP poll; it’s still only September; and the infamous Bradley effect has yet to be taken into account.

I intend to try to relax, at least until late October.


65 posted on 09/18/2008 12:16:09 PM PDT by CaliforniaCon
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To: CatOwner
This Gallup Daily Tracking Poll is based on 'Registered' Voters, not 'Likely' Voters. IIRC that makes a bit of a difference in the overall real picture.

And that's the only info given from Gallup's site. Nothing on the breakdown of Dems vs Repubs.

66 posted on 09/18/2008 12:37:55 PM PDT by Condor51 (I have guns in my nightstand because a Cop won't fit)
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To: LegionofDorkness

The media was exactly the same in 2004 and look who won. Don’t overestimate their influence on so many voting Americans.


67 posted on 09/18/2008 1:01:02 PM PDT by GnL
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To: Theodore R.
the Dummies dressed in freeper garb out in force......

this negativity coming from bad polls as well as good polls is a little too obvious....

Real freepers ...don't fall for these seldom posting freepers....they want to depress our vote..they never will be able to do that...

68 posted on 09/18/2008 2:10:45 PM PDT by cherry
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To: TitansAFC
That's what I was thinking too. It just doesn't make any sense to me.

I am by no means an expert at analyzing polls but common sense would tell me that you will get inconsistent results depending on who you poll. You could poll 1,000 people one day and the majority my want McCain to win and vice versa the next day.

I am thinking the swings in the polls now are due to the undecideds. Most people who are passionate about their candidate will not change their votes due to the news cycle, but some of the undecideds will.

I think the reasons why some of the undecideds are uncertain on who they will vote for is because they have a bad case of analysis paralysis. These are the types of people who get overwhelmed with a lot of information so they are not well informed on the candidates issues and positions so they rely on news clips from TV and radio to form their opinion on a given day. This is why politicians always try so hard to give good sound bites at rally’s, commercials, etc. Many Americans are impatient and don't want to take the time to research the issues so they rely on these sound bites and 60 second news clips. If the news is damaging to Republicans one day they will want Obama to win and vice versa.

The beauty of these types of people is that when you get a bad case of analysis paralysis you often go with what you know or what you trust. An example of that would be your cup of morning coffee. You can't make up your mind on whether you want your regular or something new. You get overwhelmed with making up your mind and in the end go with your regular coffee because it is familiar to you and a safe choice. McCain is the safe familiar choice and Obama is the unknown.

LOL, I know I am rambling here, but I am speaking from experience. I get analysis paralysis almost daily but don't do it with my politics.

69 posted on 09/18/2008 2:31:38 PM PDT by MissyMa
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To: rwfromkansas

there are many more things than politics that are important....
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

The bad part is that if Obammy wins this one it will turn everything upside down. There has never been an election with this much at stake. Even if Gore or Kerry or even Hillar had been elected president it would not be half as scary as Obama.


70 posted on 09/18/2008 7:46:23 PM PDT by RipSawyer (What's black and white and red all over? Barack Hussein Obama)
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To: CatOwner

The polling people need for this to stay interesting. I think this poll is “over sampled”.


71 posted on 09/18/2008 7:49:19 PM PDT by truthluva ("Character is doing the right thing even when no one is looking" - JC Watts)
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To: CatOwner
The Democrats are masters at grabbing the Big Lie and running with it. They gleefully pin their own sins on others and make it stick. They have done this with huge success for many years - most recently with demonizing two marvelous public servants, Bush and Cheney. They couldn't even show up at their own party Convention.

You can't argue with success, and the Democrats aren't. They feel they have found the Rosetta Stone of politics and are successfully implementing it. They just pull out the same old winning play book and fool a huge percentage of gullible American voters once again. Every year. And this year is no different.

The Clintons did it for years and the Democrat Congress and Senate did the same thing in 2006 and are doing it this year. It doesn't matter how outrageous they get. The total joke of an Oil Bill they just passed is a perfect example. It gives them the cover they need for the next election which is all they care about.

In a sane America, Republicans would gain 12 Senate seats and 200 Congressional seats in 2008. Instead, they will lose ground and maybe the Presidency.

The Big Lie works.

It usually does.

Just ask Satan.

72 posted on 09/18/2008 8:32:26 PM PDT by Gritty (There are two different Lefts: the Stupid Left and the Satanic Left. There is no third.-Steven Plaut)
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To: CatOwner

It is quite possible for Obama bin Biden to win popular vote
but lose what counts....Electoral vote.

For example if McCain does not spend much money in states
like CA & NY, he could lose big there thereby skewing the
popular vote.

All McCain needs to do is win the red states and a lot of
battleground by a small margin.


73 posted on 09/18/2008 9:06:44 PM PDT by ajay_kumar (Obama liked EVERY tax increase...he voted 94 times for tax increases!)
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To: RipSawyer

True...it will be dang scary if he wins. I just get tired of being worried about it all.


74 posted on 09/19/2008 5:51:40 AM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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