Those percentages are roughly the percentages of registered Democrats, Republicans and Independents.
Last week, on September 8th, CBS showed McCain ahead and back then, it was a “good poll” that “finally got the truth out.”
Stop hyperventilating. McCain is still doing well in state-by-state polling. Popular vote doesn’t matter, electoral vote does.
NO they are not the correct percentages..at ALL.
I’d like to see the last poll to see whether they over sampled dems by 10%.
It’s 4 to 5 percent too high.
The state polls are the ones that matter, period. You're right about that, and they are increasingly looking better for McCain/Palin.
But the other two factors that get tiresome is:
1.) Voter TURNOUT by Party ID is roughly EQUAL, not Dems +10%. Only Rasmussen ever corrects for this.
2.) The polls ADDED Democrats from their original samples. Did as much as 4% more of the nation just become Democrats since the GOP Convention bounce? No. it's clearly a poll to show a swing back to Obama that does not yet exist, or at the very least does not yet exist in such a tsunami of voters.
It's a poll taken to give Obama supporters the belief that they are winning again. Nothing more.