Yep BO needs PA almost as bad as MI. This is definitely good news if it holds.
Forget what you are hearing about NC< and VA and FL and OHIO being battleground states, EVERY ONE OF THEM will be solidly Republican by election day, if not LONG before.
Same with Indiana.
The states to watch or PA, MI and WI. Fauxbama cannot make up the loss of ANY of those states... if he loses ANY of them, he’s done... there is a very very very minor chance he could survive losing WI, but that would require holding IA, and picking up some proportional votes or something to cover the other 3... and while technically this may be possible its liklihood is somewhat less than a snowball in hells.
Also, keep an eye on WA and NH.. If NH goes R, theres another states worth of EC votes that Fauxbama must somehow make up, without many places to do it. WA, due to the theft of the governorship 4 years ago, has a very very good shot of flipping this time based on the outrage of the events there in 04, turnout for the guy who won, but was robbed will be HUGE, to ensure the dems and moveon can’t steal it again, and that turnout, and the outrage over 04 will spill up and downt he ticket.
THe important states to watch on election night (if Fauxbama hasn’t completely collapsed, and everyone knowing its over before it starts) are NH, if that goes R, Fauxbama is in BIG BIG TROUBLE. PA, MI and WI... Fauxbama MUST carry all of these to even remotely have a chance of winning, and He’s going to lose IMHO at least 2 of them.
The talk of VA, NC, OH, and FLA going Democratic is just that talk, its not going to happen. None of those states is going to flip dem with this schlub at the top of the ticket, and the Pelosi/Reid fiasco of the last 2 years is going to kill their controls on congress as well.
You can’t run “conservative democrats” to win the election and then force them to vote with you on radical liberal things the party wants and think they can go back to their districts and win re-election. A lot of those “conservative democrats” that won seats in ‘06 and handed the house to Pelosi, will wind up one termers.
We are looking at a complete routing of the democrats this campaign cycle, because of a few things, 1) the most unqualified and unprepared candidate EVER put up by a major party for president 2) the complete overplaying of the hand by Reid and Pelosi.
By the time Fauxbama realizes his campaign is hosed, and fires the idiots that are around him and brings in the experienced folks, it’ll be too late. In fact, its already too late.