Ike hooked up from Mexico to Canada.
Nauti’s the html guru at FR.
The rest of us just bumble along and hope for the best.
Look how juicy the air will be out front of that cold front.
Hmmm...let’s see something...
...yup, the convective outlook at the Storm Prediction Center is already changing. Fortunately, this is slated to move FAST, lessening the severe threat duration. On the other side, forward velocity can increase severity too.
See here:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1630.gif
...then look here, click on “All SPC Products” in the left sidebar:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/
It wouldn’t surprise me to see the “Slight” areas go to “Moderate”, or even “High” over the next 24 hours.
Pay close attention to the Convective Outlooks.
Today and tomorrow both.
Not anything to turn your back on, this storm still has a future. All the energy it can use now, and all it wants to scoop up tomorrow too.
Heads.
Up.
Ike hooked up from Mexico to Canada.
You asked me if I thought Ike would make force the front pushing in from the north to go retrograde. I’ve been looking at that.
Grabbing the “latest_eastwv” pictures for the last six hours, I’ll say that Ike now has total control of the country’s weather south of a line from Northern Arizona thru mid-Nebraska into Quebec. During the last couple hours it has just pushed in and claimed Wisconsin. The northern front is getting unhappy and appears to be setting a squall line in SD. All this will bow to let Ike take precedence as it sweeps NorthEast on its merry way. At 2200Z, it is extremely symmetric, though more compact than it had been.
I also note that in the “vacuum” it is leaving behind, I detect some definite cyclonic motion in the air mass just south of Cuba. No idea what could power it at this time since the center is dry, but I think that vast movement is undeniable.
Back to Ike: I hope I remember 5 days from now to pay attention to what happens to this pressure system to see if it stays intact across the Atlantic... and if so what occurs when it gets over toward Europe.