Posted on 09/12/2008 6:01:06 AM PDT by jakerobins
WASHINGTON - John McCain's decision to put Sarah Palin on the ticket is giving him a boost among white women in Florida and Pennsylvania - handing the Republicans new momentum in two critical swing states.
Obama is hanging onto a slim lead in Pennsylvania while expanding his lead in all-important Ohio, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll of the three battleground states.
Obama leads McCain by 48-45 in Pennsylvania - a must-win state for the Democrat.
Obama leads in Ohio, 49-44, a toss-up state that clinched election to President Bush in 2004. In August, Obama led, 44-43.
In Florida, McCain has built a lead of 50-43 after trailing in the Sunshine State during the summer.
Voters in all three states say they like McCain's selection of Sarah Palin as his running mate. The biggest margin was in Florida, 60-26, followed by Ohio, 57-30, and Pennsylvania, 55-33.
Since the veep pick, McCain's support among white women jumped four points in Ohio and five points in Pennsylvania, though it slipped by two points in Florida.
The Palin choice "seems to be very much working among white women," said pollster Peter Brown.
"The Palin choice doesn't just tell you about Palin. It tells you about McCain. It's a lot easier for McCain to say, 'I'm not the boring white guy you think I am.' "
(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...
That poll of their’s on Ohio is wrong. Rasmussen has Mc Cain up by 7 in Ohio.
Obama has spent 17 months of his less than 3 year stint as US Senator campaigning for his White House run. In Illinois, the unemployment rate is the 5th highest in the country and the 13th highest in foreclosures.
If Obama’s neglect for the great state Illinois is a template for change we are screwed. These facts are impossible to invalidate.
“Obama leads in Ohio, 49-44:
I don’t think anyone here believes that.
“I don’t care about the polls.” - Obama
Quinnipiac is always an outlier. It never seems to get better.
State polls always have to be taken with a grain of salt.
Play like you are 10 pts. behind.
“Obama has spent 17 months of his less than 3 year stint as US Senator campaigning for his White House run. In Illinois, the unemployment rate is the 5th highest in the country and the 13th highest in foreclosures.
If Obama’s neglect for the great state Illinois is a template for change we are screwed. These facts are impossible to invalidate.”
Using typical RAT logic, though, Obama would claim that things are so bad in Illinois because he’s so busy campaigning he just hasn’t gotten around to fixing things yet.
BS. Ohio is going WAY McCain this year. All the polls except the dem’s Quiniquack poll show it.
I don’t think anyone here believes that.
I don't believe it, but neither do I think Ohio is in the bag. There will be a lot of ups and downs between now and November, so we have to keep pressing on.
When all was said and done in 2004 this polling agency wasn't even mentioned in the top ten who were even close to the actual results.
He has spent 19 of 32 months running for the presidency.
Real issue isn’t the polls. Polls are subject to all the statistical problem we’ve all heard about ad nauseum. Real sign of Obama’s drop is the increasing air of desperation from Democrats, including the increasing number of “we’re screwed” articles quoting disheartened Democrats in Congress and elsewhere. That tells you that internally, Obama’s camp is increasingly seeing this thing slip away.
I read this in the Post this morning, Quinnipiac is probably one of the best polling firms around when it comes to polling:
NY
NJ
CT
PA
FL
Their OH polls have always appeared to be outliers, which seems to be the case again considering Strategic Vision’s new OH poll (and one other new OH poll that has Mac ahead + 1, but I can’t remember their name). So I’d take Quincy’s new OH poll with a grain of salt, according to their own data how can they credibly claim Palin is helping Mac so much with women in the Buckeye State yet, according to this latest poll, Mac is losing ground to Obambi? Doesn’t make sense. This kind of reminds me of Suffolk’s (Massachusetts) Colorado poll that they released a couple/few weeks ago, a clear outlier.
that’s what I thought , here in FL I was surprised to see them level but of course it is now clear thaty FL will or should go to McCain
All the Polls I have seen have Ohio our way and PA within distance, but I have niot seen NH,MI,WI,SD,NV
RCP has McCain by 1.8 in Ohio, and yes Ras has him by 7.
That's what I thought. Thanks for the STRAIGHT TALK!
Now if only McCain doesn’t screw it up.
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