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Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

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To: Mad Dawgg

Not sure, but if that means 20-ft storm surge, plus wave height, plus high tide, maybe it could be that high.


1,141 posted on 09/12/2008 2:49:28 PM PDT by Abigail Adams
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To: Terry Mross

Good luck to you sir and thanks for your Seabee service I read about.

I have only been in Houston for about 15 minutes when Amtrak stopped there once decades ago.


1,142 posted on 09/12/2008 2:49:39 PM PDT by steve86 (Acerbic by nature, not nurture™)
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To: Abigail Adams

Did you ever see any pics of the Louisiana coastline after Hurricane Rita?

Lots of little beach communities like Johnson’s Bayou and Holly Beach were just flattened.

The inland communities like Hackberry were extremely water-logged and severely damaged by the winds.


1,143 posted on 09/12/2008 2:49:55 PM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: DrewsMum

Has anyone confirmed the status of the Kemah DQ and Tookies?


1,144 posted on 09/12/2008 2:50:36 PM PDT by sweet_diane (Fairhope AL with family in League City TX (evacuating to New Braunsfel (sp?))
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To: Mad Dawgg

25 feet is the max according to the latest advisory.

What location?


1,145 posted on 09/12/2008 2:50:38 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: dougherty

I thought of Perfect Storm too. God help them.


1,146 posted on 09/12/2008 2:50:51 PM PDT by Abigail Adams
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To: rwfromkansas
My concern is that supposedly other areas have high tide about that time...

normal tidal flows should not create undo problems ... range between mean high tide and mean low tide at galveston is only 2.4 feet

1,147 posted on 09/12/2008 2:51:45 PM PDT by TheRightGuy (ERROR CODE 018974523: Random Tagline Compiler Failure)
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To: dirtboy

I think it’s an eye at this point.


1,148 posted on 09/12/2008 2:51:47 PM PDT by nwctwx
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To: dougherty
Yes. I was also thinking of the movie "The Perfect Storm". Horrible ending.

sw

1,149 posted on 09/12/2008 2:51:54 PM PDT by spectre (Spectre's wife (Is He the one?)
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To: NautiNurse

Hip boots won’t do, even neck boots won’t be enough.

My daughter lives in an area south west of houston that the eye is going to pass directly over.

She lives in an apartment building, and I am worried that even that won’t be strong enough. She lives on the first floor and I pray that she has enough sense to go up to the second floor when the waters start rising.

Their is a drainage ditch in front of her apartment which overflows onto the street in any heavy rain and they are close enough to the shore and galvaston bay that they WILL get hit by the surge. The high tides aren’t helping things either.


1,150 posted on 09/12/2008 2:52:31 PM PDT by dglang
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To: NautiNurse

Hip boots won’t do, even neck boots won’t be enough.

My daughter lives in an area south west of houston that the eye is going to pass directly over.

She lives in an apartment building, and I am worried that even that won’t be strong enough. She lives on the first floor and I pray that she has enough sense to go up to the second floor when the waters start rising.

Their is a drainage ditch in front of her apartment which overflows onto the street in any heavy rain and they are close enough to the shore and galvaston bay that they WILL get hit by the surge. The high tides aren’t helping things either.


1,151 posted on 09/12/2008 2:52:42 PM PDT by dglang
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To: MplsSteve

Yup. And after Katrina, people told stories of water rising so quickly they couldn’t get away, and some people got washed out of their houses and were lost. I think I remember some guy saying he clung to a tree all night.


1,152 posted on 09/12/2008 2:53:07 PM PDT by Abigail Adams
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To: L,TOWM

I always take the easy way out!

;<)


1,153 posted on 09/12/2008 2:53:52 PM PDT by Eaker (Dutch expression "You can give a monkey a gold ring, but it stays an ugly thing." - EscapedDutch)
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To: AFPhys

Atmospheric conditions are pretty ideal, a little shear here and there... very little dry air as is somewhat common with northern GOM storms. Storms moving W or WNW at landfall are often more likely to be strengthening or steady state compared to those moving N or NE.

It’s hard to get quick changes in such a big storm. The problem most of the trip across the GOM was the dual wind maximums making it difficult for the core to get really well established... that seems to have resolved a good bit today. Fortunately we are running out of warm water.


1,154 posted on 09/12/2008 2:54:33 PM PDT by nwctwx
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To: Mad Dawgg

Whoever is staying behind better break out the scuba gear.


1,155 posted on 09/12/2008 2:54:51 PM PDT by Cecily
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To: Abigail Adams

Just heard the Galveston mayor and she said 40%. Also with a rash of fires breaking out...and the potential of houses being ripped away and natural gas lines damaged (therefore leaking)...the people on Galveston Island will have a “party” they didn’t bargain for.


1,156 posted on 09/12/2008 2:54:51 PM PDT by antivenom (Obama's parsed and lawyerly language is empty of any credible meaning...)
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To: metmom

thx


1,157 posted on 09/12/2008 2:55:11 PM PDT by nwctwx
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To: metmom; dirtboy; nwctwx

Looking at the water vapor loop...

Ike is so big and powerful it doesn’t think it needs an eye. It is more a spiral whirling away pushing everything near it out of the way.

Not even really caring about whether it builds or anything. “Disorganized”? “Dying”? or just too big to care about such drivel.

I think it is just too big to care.


1,158 posted on 09/12/2008 2:57:00 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: BurbankKarl
"What location?"

I can't remember the name of the town but it is near the Coast between Freeport and Galveston (IIRC)

1,159 posted on 09/12/2008 2:57:24 PM PDT by Mad Dawgg ("`Eddies,' said Ford, `in the space-time continuum.' `Ah,' nodded Arthur, `is he? Is he?'")
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To: sweet_diane

And what about T-bone Tom’s ?


1,160 posted on 09/12/2008 2:58:47 PM PDT by Elderberry
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