[Galactic Overlord-In-Chief]

My concern for LA-6 is that #1, they don’t frequently toss out their incumbents in that state. They may give Cazayoux the benefit of the doubt despite hailing from the Dems, as they have for Melancon (whom, regretably, has NO Republican opponent this year). The other problem (for us) is that the district was becoming a bit marginal. Baker had some trouble here in recent years (but I wish he had had the common courtesy, along with Hastert, to have waited until the general to retire).

The legislature did redistrict LA-06 after Baker's scare to give him a more secure district by removing black precincts and putting them into LA-05, also raising the Bush percentage from 54% to 55%. You'll notice the district has several "fingers" on the west side that cut through some parishes. The problem though still seems to be the closer-in suburbs of Baton Rouge, who are willing to vote GOP, but not for the "wrong" candidate (read: a Christian conservative like Woody Jenkins)

[fieldmarshaldj]

I was sorry to see Jenkins get screwed by the RINO establishment in his race. A House seat was the least he was owed after having a Senate seat stolen from him. I don’t have the exact figures, but I believe the 6th is (or was post-Katrina) probably above 40% Black (it was in the 30s following redistricting). It’s just very hard with that high a percentage for the GOP to win a House seat. While Blacks will vote over 90% for a Dem nominee, Whites won’t by a similar margin for a GOP candidate (although they did in Southern districts during a brief period in the late ‘60s until 1972, accounting for why nearly 50% Black districts in central Memphis and Atlanta all sent Republicans during the period, all the seats which now are amongst the most heavily Dem in those states today).