It’s a very bad situation I think, with hurricane force winds so expansive and pressures so low there is likely to be an extra large surge (in addition to possibly more significant winds than Katrina brought).
We just have to think King Ranch King Ranch King Ranch...
Probably a few hours old, but shows how steep the pressure drop off is. If anyone wants to check in at the SPC it is at www.spc.noaa.gov/
That will be the best site to keep an eye out for tornadic activity in the next few days.
Speaking of him, he said this at his last update: "Ike has a good chance of becoming the most destructive hurricane in Texas history--though not the most powerful."
I also wondered if you saw the photo from inside Ike's eye posted there yesterday. What a pic.. the side looks like an icy mountain of evil cotton candy.
With regards to possible surge expectations: I live on North Padre Island, just outside of Corpus. Assuming Ike makes landfall in the Matagorda Bay/Palacios area as a Cat 3, what are the likely conditions on the west/south side of the storm where we live? Say 90 to 100 miles away?
Is there any way to get an idea?