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Hurricane Ike Live Thread Part II
NOAA/NHC ^ | 10 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/10/2008 2:18:37 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Texas began issuing mandatory and voluntary evacuations as Hurricane Ike continued to strengthen and slowly moved toward an uncertain landfall destination in the western Gulf of Mexico. Texas Governor Rick Perry issued a disaster declaration in advance of the storm. Louisiana Governor Jindal released several hundred buses to Texas for evacuation assistance.

Reports from Cuba indicate widespread damage from Hurricane Ike, which raked the length of the island nation. The U.S. State Department again offered Cuba humanitarian assistance after a previous offer was declined by the Cuban government.

The stock market Wednesday rose as investors bought oil stocks and and oill futures fell.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Louisiana; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; ike; louisiana; texas; topical; tropical; weather
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To: NautiNurse

TANKS a bunch for the threads,NN,,,

FWIW : It looks like the eye is reforming,,,

Northeast of the forecast point,,,(NOAA Floater - Visible Loop),,,

Galveston mite get the eye-strike on this track...


641 posted on 09/11/2008 1:32:49 PM PDT by 1COUNTER-MORTER-68 (THROWING ANOTHER BULLET-RIDDLED TV IN THE PILE OUT BACK~~~~~)
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To: brytlea

“My prayers for all of TX!”

I’ll second that. AMEN!

Looks like Austin will dodge the worst of it but, these damn things have a mind of their own.

My Dad lives in Houston but lucky for them, they’re in Colorado this week.


642 posted on 09/11/2008 1:33:20 PM PDT by wolfcreek (I see miles and miles of Texas....let's keep it that way.)
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To: NautiNurse

I’m getting a bad feeling about Ike. Because the forecasters couldn’t get a fix on its track and strength, I think a lot of people will have waited too long to make preps or evacuate. Dallas is only getting a trickle of critical-care evacuees right now. I fear many will be trapped on the highway during a last-minute bug out.


643 posted on 09/11/2008 1:43:44 PM PDT by Nachoman (East of Dallas.)
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To: Charles Martel
I would think that price gouging refers to a specific area. If the refineries are shut down long enough to cause a fuel supply shortage, we *all* will pay higher prices. However, if the prices go up only in Texas, or near the storm-damaged area, then that would likely be considered gouging, same as for any other commodity that's in short supply in the area affected by Ike.

We are in Arkansas and not likely threatened by the storm except maybe some rain and thunderstorms (hopefully not tornadoes).

I am only telling everyone what we were told earlier today. We will see I guess.

644 posted on 09/11/2008 1:49:49 PM PDT by kcvl
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To: lonestar

touche’


645 posted on 09/11/2008 1:57:17 PM PDT by DrewsMum (making my exodus from la porter tx...)
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To: 1COUNTER-MORTER-68

This is one eye (of Texas) that I hope will not be upon us.


646 posted on 09/11/2008 2:05:34 PM PDT by comps4spice
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To: Nahanni

“Yes it is, but the land is flat and there is not much of a slope. In bad rains the area around IAH floods in places making it difficult to get to and from the airport.”

97 feet of change of elevation in Florida is a sheer cliff. I know what you mean about flashfloods, but the surge will not get that high.


647 posted on 09/11/2008 2:09:06 PM PDT by Sunnyflorida (Unless you are nice and thoughtful you will be ignored. Write in Thomas Sowell.)
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To: NautiNurse

From the 5pm discussion, it looks like the eye is reforming to a larger eye. And the track trend is almost identical to Rita - now the center is right through Galveston Bay. I think it will keep shifting eastward, but not quite as far as Rita did. But if it stikes 50-60 miles east of Galveston, that will prevent the worst damage to the refining facilities and to Houston.


648 posted on 09/11/2008 2:11:02 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: NautiNurse

Well, the newest model has it coming dead overhead the house. We are at 95 and 30. Looks like I might have a house full also, ah well, misery loves company.LOL


649 posted on 09/11/2008 2:11:17 PM PDT by eastforker (Dems Holler for your Dollars/Palin Hollers to Save you Dollars, OOOOH SARAHCUDA)
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To: brytlea
My prayers for all of TX!

They are much appreciated.

650 posted on 09/11/2008 2:13:31 PM PDT by RoseyT
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To: SouthTexas; STARWISE; NautiNurse
Sure hope you’re wrong.

Yes, I would like to eat crow on that projection *lol*. However, I/we see much similarities in the 8 weeks out to zero current polling data to that of the Clinton - H.W. Bush '92 election. H.W. really closed the polls gap on Wild Bill in the closing election weeks to the point we thought we finally dragged Clinton down. The day before the election even Clinton thought he was going to lose. Then the next day Clinton destroyed H.W. in the E.C. Currently, there is massive under-polling due to Obama dominating the youth vote. This is where McCain will lose, along with the large number of Republicans that will not vote in this election, or write-in Thompson or Romney. I/we are also very P.O.'d the way Rove is prostituting Palin. She is a great VP pick and a good person, but Rove has got her in way over her head, imo. The Biden-Palin debate(s) will be very interesting.

On topic, looking very bad for Houston-Galveston. My brother closed his downtown Houston law firm at noon today.

651 posted on 09/11/2008 2:14:51 PM PDT by flattorney (See my comprehensive FR Profile "Straight Talk" Page)
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To: eastforker

Prayers sent for all in the area.


652 posted on 09/11/2008 2:16:21 PM PDT by rdl6989 (What isn't above Obama's pay grade?)
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To: NautiNurse

653 posted on 09/11/2008 2:17:54 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: Overtaxed; lonestar

“yes, but pine trees snap in the middle.”

well I was trying to console Orange at least until you prophets of doom came along...sheesh.... so much for looking at the bright side eh... LOL


654 posted on 09/11/2008 2:18:04 PM PDT by DrewsMum (making my exodus from la porter tx...)
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To: wolfcreek

Yeah, really lucky! I have a friend in E. TX (nearly Tyler/Longview, who I emailed today because it’s looking more like it will head that direction. She’s not worried, except she said they keep getting refugees, and she helps out when they do (she’s a teacher). She said that some of them were very ungrateful and complain about the hospitality they get! Imagine that. Anyway, I think she’s going to get wet and wind, but maybe not that far north.

susie


655 posted on 09/11/2008 2:18:59 PM PDT by brytlea (Obama--Keep the change!)
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To: rdl6989

Oh I think we will be alright , but, you know, I have lived a very full life and if I was to go that way it would be kinda fitting.


656 posted on 09/11/2008 2:20:10 PM PDT by eastforker (Dems Holler for your Dollars/Palin Hollers to Save you Dollars, OOOOH SARAHCUDA)
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To: RoseyT

Where in TX are you?
susie


657 posted on 09/11/2008 2:20:42 PM PDT by brytlea (Obama--Keep the change!)
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To: brytlea

Perry warns Texans in Ike’s path: Get out now

http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/front/5995957.html


658 posted on 09/11/2008 2:21:25 PM PDT by rdl6989 (What isn't above Obama's pay grade?)
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To: brytlea

“some of them were very ungrateful and complain about the hospitality they get!”

There are 150,000 of those in Harris county (Houston) left over from Katrina. Pretty much a worthless lot.


659 posted on 09/11/2008 2:22:02 PM PDT by wolfcreek (I see miles and miles of Texas....let's keep it that way.)
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To: NautiNurse
Gov. Perry did look stressed

Oh no! They let him get before the cameras again? He's really good about "whatever yall need" but oh man...he comes across as extremely.... ah " stressed".

660 posted on 09/11/2008 2:22:37 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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