Hurricane Ike Live Thread Part II

NOAA/NHC ^ | 10 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

[eastforker]

It has been 25 years since Alicia hit and they never did repair or rebuild the hiway between High Island and Port Aurthur. Alicia did an enormous amount of beach dammage and Ike may double that amount.

[TheMom]

Just got back from topping off the Jeep and getting a few goodies from the store.

Lots of traffice out there for a weekday, gas stations and grocery store are full of people. Only thing running low at the store was bread.

[eastforker]

Got four loaves in the freezer. When allison came through the stores in Atoscosita lost power and the meat department was damn near giving it away if you could pay by cash or check. If we lose power like that again I will be there to take advantage saturday evening or sunday.

[rwfromkansas]

What about dry air? Some speculation at another site that dry air is in the center....actually helping right now instead of hurting intensification.

[arkady_renko]

From Jeff Masters' blog:

What should Texas residents do?
We must assume Ike will intensify to a Category 3 hurricane by landfall, which would likely do $20-$30 billion in damage. The chances of hundreds of people being killed in this storm is high if people do not heed evacuation orders to leave low-lying areas threatened by high storm surges. Ike's storm surge is going to be affect a huge area and be tremendously destructive.

Source has more info and links about Evacuations, etc.

[sheikdetailfeather]

Thunder rumbling here with some downpours in central Florida from the outer bands of the storm right now.

[Orange1998]

17 Feet? Not anymore. The City pumped so much sand to replace the beach the water now is against the seawall. Years ago you had 100 yards of beach now you have None (starting at 61st street). I would say the seawall is 10 feet high in places.

[NautiNurse]

Very ominous warning for Matagorda and Galveston Bays...

Maximum water levels forecast: Shoreline of Matagorda and
Galveston Bays... 15 to 20 feet

Gulf-facing coastal areas from Matagorda to High Island
including Galveston Island... 12 to 16 feet

Life threatening inundation likely!

All neighborhoods... and possibly entire coastal communities...
will be inundated during high tide. Persons not heeding
evacuation orders in single family one or two story homes will
face certain death.

Many residences of average construction directly on the coast
will be destroyed. Widespread and devastating personal
property damage is likely elsewhere. Vehicles left behind will
likely be swept away. Numerous roads will be swamped... some
may be washed away by the water.

Entire flood prone coastal communities will be cutoff. Water
residents in multi-story facilities risk being cutoff. Conditions will
be worsened by battering waves. Such waves will exacerbate
property damage... with massive destruction of homes...
including those of block construction. Damage from beach
erosion could take years to repair.

On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

[arkady_renko]

Doesn’t that give you the chills? I remember the same type of ominous warning for Katrina being read on FOX and they were dead on.

[SomeCallMeTim]

Note that the NHC spoke of a “slight jog to the Northwest” ?? Hmnnnn...

Just looking at the “Bigger picture”... the NW quadrant is showing signs of shear... what that means to me is.. Ike is starting to feel the interaction with the oncoming Upper Level trough.

I’m still not convinced that Louisiana is out of the woods on this one. Remember... at this point during Rita, Houston was in the “bulls-eye”. Then, it veered north.

I still think that’s possible here...

[Red Badger]

We had highway 98 closed on Okaloosa island between Destin and Fort Walton Beach this morning because of high waves washing over the island, and we’re no where near the storm!............

[kcvl]

Just got back from topping off the Jeep and getting a few goodies from the store.

We were told this morning that by this afternoon gas would be around $6 a gallon (if they didn't run out first) because of the refineries shutting down along the coast because of the hurricane. We just confirmed it with one of the oil companies.

When I went to fill up the long lines had already started.

[SaveTheChief]

We were told this morning that by this afternoon gas would be around $6 a gallon (if they didn't run out first) because of the refineries shutting down along the coast because of the hurricane. We just confirmed it with one of the oil companies.

Utter nonsense. The Attorney General has already warned against price gouging.

My neighborhood gas station had a twenty cent per gallon jump in price yesterday. I noticed today that it was back down to where it was the previous day.

[NautiNurse]

Trying again...the links didn't work the first time.

Texas Severe Weather

Hurricane Warning:

Aransas, Brazoria, Calhoun, Chambers, Galveston, Harris, Jackson, Jefferson, Kleberg, Liberty, Matagorda, Nueces, Refugio, San Patricio

Inland Hurricane Wind Watch:

Austin, Bee, Brazos, Burleson, Colorado, Fort Bend, Goliad, Grimes, Hardin, Houston, Madison, Montgomery, Orange, Polk, San Jacinto, Trinity, Victoria, Walker, Waller, Washington, Wharton

Tropical Storm Warning, Hurricane Watch:

Kenedy

Inland Tropical Wind Watch:

Jasper, Newton, Tyler

Unknown:

Jim Wells

Flood Warning, Areal Flood Warning:

Presidio, Brewster

Flood Warning:

Pecos, Val Verde

Areal Flood Watch:

Archer, Baylor, Clay, Foard, Hardeman, Knox, Wichita, Wilbarger

Flash Flood Watch:

Andrews, Armstrong, Big Bend Area, Carson, Collingsworth, Davis/Apache Mountains Area, Deaf Smith, Donley, El Paso, Gaines, Gray, Guadalupe Mountains, Hansford, Hemphill, Hudspeth, Hutchinson, Lipscomb, Loving, Marfa Plateau, Moore, Ochiltree, Oldham, Pecos, Potter, Presidio Valley, Randall, Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos, Roberts, Terrell, Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor, Ward, Wheeler, Winkler

Areal Flood Advisory:

Briscoe, Childress, Cottle, Crosby, Dickens, Floyd, Hall, Motley

Coastal Flood Warning, High Surf Advisory:

Coastal Cameron, Coastal Willacy

Public Information Statement:

Anderson, Bell, Bosque, Collin, Comanche, Cooke, Coryell, Dallas, Delta, Denton, Eastland, Ellis, Erath, Falls, Fannin, Freestone, Grayson, Hamilton, Henderson, Hill, Hood, Hopkins, Hunt, Jack, Johnson, Kaufman, Lamar, Lampasas, Leon, Limestone, McLennan, Milam, Mills, Montague, Navarro, Palo Pinto, Parker, Rains, Robertson, Rockwall, Somervell, Stephens, Tarrant, Van Zandt, Wise, Young

[lonestar]

That’s a jolly thought...NOT! Those of us in Rita’s path are sitting here with nowhere to go.

[savedbygrace]

My SIL in NW Houston is staying in place. I’m very worried about her. She’s in her mid to late 60s. She says she’s ready for it.

[dirtboy]

I don't recall ever seeing a 945 mb storm with only 100 mph winds....

The energy appears to be translated into a much larger windfield rather than just around the eye. Jeff Masters had a plot of a newfangled estimate of the total kinetic energy of hurricanes - and Ike was at the top of the plot, with even more kinetic energy than Katrina. I think, however, in looking at the last few sat photos, that Ike is starting to consolidate to a larger eye, and we might see stronger winds develop around the center over the next 12-24 hours. It's still gonna produce a lot of surge, no matter what, because of the sheer size of the windfield.

[Elle Bee]

prayers for all in Ike's path ... let's hope he stalls and dies down

.

[NautiNurse]

Louisiana Severe Weather

Please note several LA counties also carry the life threatening surge/flood warnings.

Inland Tropical Wind Watch:

Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Evangeline, Rapides, St. Landry, Vernon

Hurricane Warning:

Cameron, Iberia, St. Mary, Vermilion

Tropical Storm Warning:

Ascension, Assumption, Livingston, Lower Jefferson, Lower Lafourche, Lower Plaquemines, Lower St. Bernard, Lower Terrebonne, Orleans, St. Charles, St. James, St. John The Baptist, St. Tammany, Tangipahoa, Upper Jefferson, Upper Lafourche, Upper Plaquemines, Upper St. Bernard, Upper Terrebonne

Inland Tropical Wind Warning:

Acadia, Calcasieu, Jefferson Davis, Lafayette, Lower St. Martin, Upper St. Martin

Coastal Flood Warning:

Ascension, Livingston, Lower Plaquemines, Lower St. Bernard, Orleans, St. Charles, St. James, St. John The Baptist, St. Tammany, Tangipahoa, Upper Jefferson, Upper Plaquemines, Upper St. Bernard

Flood Warning:

Webster

Flood Warning:

Madison, Calcasieu, Acadia, Jefferson Davis, St. Mary, Franklin

Wind Advisory:

East Baton Rouge, Iberville, Pointe Coupee, West Baton Rouge