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The Note: The Big Shift
ABC News ^ | Sept. 9, 2008 | RICK KLEIN with HOPE DITTO

Posted on 09/09/2008 8:14:12 AM PDT by BAW

He's danced over caucuses and superdelegates, skated past two dozen debates and 19 months on the trail, rolled through Jeremiah Wright and Hillary Clinton -- and a hockey mom from Alaska could be his undoing?

Eight weeks out -- his lead in the polls erased (for now), the money not quite flowing the way he anticipated, women voters impressed by the newest newcomer -- the weight of the race falls on Sen. Barack Obama's shoulders.

(And your real-world alert: President Bush announces Tuesday morning that he's pulling out 8,000 US troops out of Iraq by February.)

Yes, this period of the race has been all about Gov. Sarah Palin -- but how long it lasts is going to be up to Obama. Smart political types are looking for a sharper message -- one that reminds voters of the big stakes in the race, not the little items on a running mate's resume.

(Who usually wins when a presidential candidate takes on a vice-presidential one? How does Obama take on an Obama-like phenomenon? What does it say about Obama's support that it was soft enough to flee this quickly? What, in the end, do women want?)

All that work, gone? The new ABC News/Washington Post poll pegs it at McCain 49, Obama 47 among likely voters -- inside the margin of error, but with a name we're not used to seeing in the lead.

(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: mccainpalin; obama; obamabiden; palin
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To: FreedomProtector

McCain needs to get busy and bring this stuff up during the debates. Is there anymore on the Whitey tape? That would do it and shut Obama up for good.


21 posted on 09/09/2008 8:35:53 AM PDT by Sadie5
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To: CatOwner

who has the bigger audience of LIKELY VOTERS?

Rush? Hanity? or CNN,FNC, and MSNBC?


22 posted on 09/09/2008 8:36:09 AM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: BAW

Welcome to the NFL, Rookie!

23 posted on 09/09/2008 8:36:31 AM PDT by gridlock (HIX IN STIX DIG MCCAIN CHICK PICK)
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To: goldstategop

Obama is the latest of the Democratic girly men. All that’s left to join Kerry and Gore is the firearm photo op. That would be too outrageous. Maybe they could hire stand-in.


24 posted on 09/09/2008 8:37:29 AM PDT by meatloaf
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To: Upstate NY Guy

Oh, he was vetted, but for the wrong reasons. His was vetting my image, by slickly delivered talk, by pumped up community “involvment”—unfortunately many voters are voting based on image and not their bank statements.


25 posted on 09/09/2008 8:38:13 AM PDT by truthingod
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To: BAW

I think the guy can still pull this election out. Which means we had better work as hard as we can if we want to beat him.

This election is turning into something neat: the ghost of Ronald Reagan versus the ghost of Karl Marx.


26 posted on 09/09/2008 8:40:29 AM PDT by popdonnelly (I'll tell you a little secret: We're smarter and more competent than the Left.)
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To: longtermmemmory
Rush is preaching to the choir. Hannity is a weak excuse for a conservative commentator.

If the story doesn't make it to ABC/CBS/NBC/CNN/MSNBC, it won't be reaching the swing/undecided voters.

27 posted on 09/09/2008 8:40:45 AM PDT by CatOwner
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To: longtermmemmory

That might depend on the news outlet:
NBC-national Barak Channel
ABC-always Barak Channel
MSNBC-more same national Barak Channel
CBS-choose Barak system
—can anyone else add to this?


28 posted on 09/09/2008 8:41:37 AM PDT by truthingod
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To: impeachedrapist
Palin is actually polling better among men than women!

That's not at all unexpected.

29 posted on 09/09/2008 8:42:58 AM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: BAW

That’s Schadenfreud baby!


30 posted on 09/09/2008 8:44:03 AM PDT by thingumbob (McGenius-Palin beats Obomber-Hide'n and ( Dead terrorists don't make more terrorists!))
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To: BAW

That’s Schadenfreud baby!


31 posted on 09/09/2008 8:44:15 AM PDT by thingumbob (McGenius-Palin beats Obomber-Hide'n and ( Dead terrorists don't make more terrorists!))
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To: BAW
Sarah Palin, "a history of successful, positive change you can believe in".

0nada, change in Presidential representation to "present"

32 posted on 09/09/2008 8:45:52 AM PDT by Paladin2 (Palin for President! (PUMA))
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To: CatOwner
What makes you think they're going to pick up this story between now and Election Day? The only media..

I am not talking about the media keeping the story alive. I am talking about our side doing that in the debates, on the campaign trail, etc.

33 posted on 09/09/2008 8:46:47 AM PDT by Puppage (You may disagree with what I have to say, but I shall defend to your death my right to say it)
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To: Upstate NY Guy
"This idiot was never vetted."

As even Dowdy Mo (from the Slimes) pegs 0be as "All cage, No bird".

34 posted on 09/09/2008 8:48:14 AM PDT by Paladin2 (Palin for President! (PUMA))
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To: BAW
In with the new new

Out with the old new.


35 posted on 09/09/2008 8:54:27 AM PDT by syriacus (FIRST check out the Alaska state webpages. THEN tell me that governing Alaska is easy.)
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To: gridlock

Thanks for the welcome . . . been watching for a very long time. - Betsy


36 posted on 09/09/2008 9:25:40 AM PDT by BAW
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To: BAW

Quote: “. . . rolled through Jeremiah Wright and Hillary Clinton. . .”

Really, rolled through Wright? Come on ABC, if you think Wright didn’t damage Obama, just look at how he did in the primaries after the Wright revelations happened. This damaged him with the working class folks and he is not getting them back. Oh, one more thing, if you think Wright is over, you are wrong.


37 posted on 09/09/2008 9:29:38 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: BAW

Wow. I was referring to Barack Obama as the rookie.

Man, calling a six year lurker a nOOb on her very first post. Not even I’m that much of a score-keeper.

In any case, welcome to the land of the posting! I think you’ll find it much more fun this way!


38 posted on 09/09/2008 9:34:21 AM PDT by gridlock (Sarah Palin can kick butt or she can bake cookies... And she's all out of flour!)
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To: CatOwner

Rush on air has said consistently 1/2 of his listeners are NOT conservatives. In fact many self described liberals listen to him because he provides articulate statments of the conservative view.


39 posted on 09/09/2008 1:46:31 PM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: 1Old Pro

Conservatives win elections

men will decide the winner in this election.

It is the conservative that is agonizing the drive by media.


40 posted on 09/09/2008 2:57:31 PM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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