[goldfinch]

It concerns me that Obama is getting very close to the 50% mark. I don't think either Kerry or Gore got to that mark. And with Barr the spoiler stealing votes from the Republicans, the reality to a President Obama looks all too possible.

[syriacus]

With the caveat that this is from April 2004.

http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/03/08/elect04.prez.poll/index.html

Inside Politics
Kerry leads Bush in new poll
But most voters think president will be re-elected

Tuesday, April 27, 2004 Posted: 12:40 PM EDT (1640 GMT)

(CNN) — Presumptive Democratic nominee Sen. John Kerry leads President Bush in the latest CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll, although the race appears to be fluid and remains close.

The poll, released Monday, found that among likely voters, ***Kerry was the choice of 52 percent*** and Bush 44 percent in a two-way matchup, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.