I've noticed a lot of people are overestimating Russia's military. They have nukes but other than that their military isn't anything special. I don't see any way they would ever actually use their nukes first either. If they want war they better hope Obama gets elected because McCain will not allow them to push us around.
I believe that all hell will break loose over there if Obama is elected because the Russians will know they can whatever they want and that we will do nothing with a leader like Obama. Peace has a much better chance under McCain because they know he will react with force if it has to be done.