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Gallup Daily: Obama 47%, McCain 42% (McCain has not led since May, underperforming Bush everywhere)
Gallup ^ | August 9, 2008 | Gallup

Posted on 08/09/2008 11:34:52 AM PDT by nwrep

Comments:

Getting concerned as McCain has not led since May. Even the electoral college tally on Rasmussen has had Obama solidly ahead like a rock.

McCain is underperforming Bush in almost all Republican and swing states, including CO, NV, NM, OH, WI, MT, IA, IN, GA, NC, VA, and so on.

Despite an impressive anti-Obama ad barrage, McCain has still not managed to demonstrate a winning electoral college mosaic so far.

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008poll; electionpresident; mccain; obama; theskyisfalling
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To: newfreep; Maelstorm; nwrep; SolidWood; BunnySlippers; nailspitter
"Getting concerned as McCain has not led since May. Even the electoral college tally on Rasmussen has had Obama solidly ahead like a rock."

All is not lost. In 2004, Kerry was leading Bush by about 5 points, consistently, prior to the conventions. And Bush won by 3 points in the end.

That said, there is a reason Bush won -- it's because he ran a campaign that mercilessly wrecked the MSM's devotion to Kerry. If McCain runs an incompetent campaign, he will lose.

61 posted on 08/09/2008 12:06:06 PM PDT by tom h
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To: Aria

I don’t know but his credentials (graduated magna cum laude from Harvard Law School in 1991) and his relaxed, unruffled manner suggests a fair IQ, howbeit on the wrong side of almost every issue. Intelligence doesn’t equal virtue.


62 posted on 08/09/2008 12:07:59 PM PDT by Jim W N
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To: Sooth2222
Obama has trouble breaking 50, Kerry didn't.

Very good point. Plus, GWB was an incumbant consistently polling below 50%. He was in much worse shape (poll wise) then than what McCain is in now.

This is going to be a very close election. The Gallup numbers aren't good, but McCain is still in good position to be able to pull this one out.

63 posted on 08/09/2008 12:08:18 PM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: Sooth2222
Excellent chart.

Gallup showed Kerry leading Bush in the summer of 2004.

64 posted on 08/09/2008 12:08:57 PM PDT by LdSentinal
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To: Lady Jag
No, please don’t rewrite history.

I was just thinking let's not repeat history.

Good one.

65 posted on 08/09/2008 12:10:01 PM PDT by Jim W N
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To: comebacknewt

Looking at voter demographics and the primary result, I’d add New Hampshire to the “swing” or “flip” column. A few of the states depend on who McCain picks as his running mate, probably more than in any recent election. Lieberman won’t cut it, IMO, unless McCain’s real goal is to lose this thing.


66 posted on 08/09/2008 12:11:10 PM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: Lady Jag
The caption on your picture is wrong and distorting. The anti-Islamic King of Persia Reza Shah Pahlavi in 1935 requested all foreign nations to call Persia "Iran". Iran is since millenia their self-description. They always called themselves "Irani". "Persia" was the West's name for Iran, although Persians are merely a part of Iranians. The motive for the name change in 1935 was to cast away the colonial and backward association of "Persia". Iran was undergoing a modernisation effort at that time.

And the Iranians ARE Aryan by origin.

When we are attacking the Iranian regime, we should target their real motivator for anti-semitism and fascism: ISLAM the arabic cult.

Iran during WW2 was never allied with Germany. They tried desperately to stay neutral and 1939-41 during the Hitler-Stalin pact, Reza Shah Iran's king tried to joing the Allies against Hitler/Stalin. When Hitler invaded Russia, out of necessity the Allies (now with Russia) needed Iran as a transit route. Therefore they invaded and deposed the neutral Shah of Iran. The propaganda by Communists and also the BBC that Reza Shah was a "Nazi friend" has no truth to it. Infact Reza Shah gave Iran's Jews civil rights and was wary of Nazi subversion just as much as any other foreign encroachment.

67 posted on 08/09/2008 12:12:26 PM PDT by SolidWood (God Bless Georgia and grant them victory over Russia!)
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To: Sooth2222

Does anyone know someone who is actually voting for Obama?
I’ve asked my 20 something kids and their friends.
None are happy about higher taxes and all agree we need to drill here and drill now.
I’m hoping it’s a bradley effect and November will be a landslide for McCain.


68 posted on 08/09/2008 12:12:52 PM PDT by mouse1 (I'VE BEEN CALLED A REDNECK BIGOT AND I'M PROUD OF IT!!)
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To: nwrep

McCain will be our next President.


69 posted on 08/09/2008 12:14:35 PM PDT by jveritas (God Bless President Bush and our brave troops)
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To: BunnySlippers

Freepers who do not support McCain like Republicans who are not supporting the solid conservative candidates in Virginia and New Mexico should re-evaluate what their goals are. McCain needs to be elected with a stronger conservative Republican representation in the House and Senate. This is possible if sore grapes conservatives get out of the doldrums. Do you conservatives really want a guaranteed replacement of justices with radical liberals like Ginsberg? We are so close to having a solid conservative Supreme Court. We could finally start turning things around and undoing the crap that the left has been pushing through.

We finally have the chance for a real America First Energy policy. Radical environmentalism is on the run. We have an advantage on this issue and others. The surge worked, Iraq is pouring out oil and starting to grant oil contracts. We helped win this at home. Had we given up the Democrats would ‘ve brought our brave men and women fighting the War on Terror home from Iraq to be spit on. We should be proud of that and proud of supporting John McCain who pushed for the surge and stood against those who wanted us to run.

Do you want victory to be exchanged for defeat? Do you want the ACLU, GreenPeace, GLSTN, Planned Parenthood, and countless other radical leftist organization to win this because that is what we have with Barack Obama. We will have higher taxes, we will have more liberalized education, we more liberalized abortion policy, government run health care. We will have all that and more if we allow Obama to be elected with full control of the Senate. I am amazed that conservatives including the national talk shows don’t understand this. Get off your negative hobby horse and grow the hell up! We have some really good candidates running and they aren’t even being supported. It is shameful that Moveon.org and liberal cronies are raising millions filling the coffers of Dick Durbin, Jay Rockefeller, Tom Udall, Mark Warner, Mary Landrieu and down the line while many of our candidates are starving for cash not even able to run tv or radio ads. We should be embarrassed. McCain is not the problem, the problem is us and the expectation to have our candidates deliver victory to us sitting at home on our computers.


70 posted on 08/09/2008 12:15:12 PM PDT by Maelstorm (Russians in Georgia? Wait a sec and let me get my gun.)
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To: Red Steel

In Northwestern Ohio, McCain is up by 26 points according to the newest Quinnipiac poll for Ohio.


71 posted on 08/09/2008 12:17:33 PM PDT by jokemoke
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To: Sooth2222
Yeah. NH could definitely flip as well.

I didn't list it because I concentrated on the swing states that went GOP last time.

72 posted on 08/09/2008 12:18:07 PM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: jokemoke
In Northwestern Ohio, McCain is up by 26 points according to the newest Quinnipiac poll for Ohio.

Any idea how that area went for Bush last time around?

73 posted on 08/09/2008 12:22:11 PM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: Jim 0216

Is Obama’s IQ The Highest Certified Of Any President Ever?
As was noted earlier hits morning on Sirius Left, the former
Guidance Counselor of Obama’s private Hawaiian school
has supplied The Washington Post with a certified copy of
Obama’s Stanford-Banai IQ Certification, one of which was taken in 1966 when he was a kindergardener in Hawaii before moving to Indonesia, and one which was taken as entrance protocol as a freshman in his private (extremely exclusive) Honolulu private highschool.

His IQ was clocked at 172 and 166 respectively (IQ’s normally have a fluctuation of 6 or 7 points from test to test so that discrepency is normal).

That puts Obama in the certifiable clinical genius category.

Obama’s campaign is apparently NOT HAPPY about The Washington Post preparing to disclose this, because they fear it adds to his reputation as no an “everyman” and being too “professorial”.

But that aside...if elected, does this make Obama, the retainer of the highest certified IQ of any president in American history?
http://answers.yahoo.com/question/index?qid=20080326093339AAznnNm


74 posted on 08/09/2008 12:23:41 PM PDT by gusopol3
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To: nwrep

Registered voters poll. It’s likely voters that count.


75 posted on 08/09/2008 12:25:10 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Maelstorm
We aren’t even close to the hard hitting stuff yet. Obama is in trouble. The election has always been McCain’s to lose. The conventional wisdom is wrong.

Sounds like we see things fairly the same way.
76 posted on 08/09/2008 12:30:15 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: jveritas
McCain will be our next President.

Agreed. And at some point God enters the picture in America. I don't believe he'll allow Obamanation - not yet.

77 posted on 08/09/2008 12:30:38 PM PDT by Jim W N
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To: Jim 0216
What? You a charter member of AAAAA? Take a peek at the Internet Slang Dictionary and prepare to be amazed how truly little you know.
78 posted on 08/09/2008 12:30:51 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: gusopol3
Obama’s campaign is apparently NOT HAPPY about The Washington Post preparing to disclose this

sounds like the prayer note at the wailing wall trick.

79 posted on 08/09/2008 12:30:54 PM PDT by gusopol3
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To: jokemoke

Wow.


80 posted on 08/09/2008 12:31:15 PM PDT by Red Steel
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