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The Second Coming of McGovern
National Review Online ^ | April 23, 2008 | Victor Davis Hanson

Posted on 04/23/2008 6:33:21 AM PDT by southernnorthcarolina

Hillary won just enough to show that it is ludicrous to oust a 10-point winner at this late junction, but not quite the blow-out that might cause a stampede to her in the next few states.

The Democrats are tottering at the edge of the abyss. They are about to nominate someone who cannot win, despite vastly out-spending his opponent, any of the key large states — CA, NJ, NY, OH, PENN, TX, etc. — that will determine the fall election. And yet not to nominate him will cause the sort of implosion they saw in 1968 or the sort of mess we saw in November 2000.

Hillary won't quit, since she knows that Obama, when pressure mounts, is starting to show a weird sort of petulance, and drops the "new politics" for snideness. And at any given second, a Rev. Wright outburst, an Ayers reappearance, another Michelle 'never been proud' moment, or another condescending Obamism can cause him to nose dive and become even more snappy.

They won't be able to force Hillary out since she still has strong arguments — the popular vote may end up dead even, or even in her favor; while he won caucuses and out-of-play states, she won the critical fall battlegrounds — and by plebiscites; she is the more experienced and more likely to run a steady national campaign; she wins the Reagan Democrats that will determine the fall election; and by other, more logical nomination rules (like the Republicans' fewer caucuses, winner-take-all elections) she would have already wrapped it up. There seems something unfair, after all, for someone to win these mega-states and end up only with a few extra delegates for the effort. The more this drags out, the more Obama and Hillary get nastier and more estranged from each other — at precisely the time one must take the VP nomination to unite the party.

On the plus side, Hillary is showing a scrappy, tough blue-collar talent that is critical for November — but apparently it will be all for naught, or worse, cause lots of these Middle America "clingers" to go over to McCain.

More and more, McCain will want to run against Obama and his far weaker coalition of elite whites, African-Americans, students—and closets of skeletons. More and more, we will start to see the buyer's remorse of midsummer 1972.

All eyes turn to a repeat in Indiana...


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; barackobama; hillary; hillaryclinton; obama; vdh; victordavishanson
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To: Grampa Dave

21 posted on 04/23/2008 10:43:51 AM PDT by Lonesome in Massachussets (The women got the vote and the Nation got Harding.)
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To: Lonesome in Massachussets

Thanks for posting the original small town Bitter Christians!


22 posted on 04/23/2008 10:56:49 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (Hussein ObamaSamma's Pastor, Jeremiah Wright: "God Damn America, U.S. to Blame for 9/11")
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To: southernnorthcarolina

The only real danger is if Hillary does well enough to really pull it all out together. Yes, the liberals will riot, but they are GOP-hating liberals, and so they will come home to Hillary. Dont buy the hype that the party is split. Every party is split, its just a matter of timing and motivation to heal. The party right now has rejected hillary and picked Obama, sort of, by its a close call.
Neither candidate has closed the deal.

Hillary is a relentless, unthinking, unblinking, political machine, like the Terminator. She cannot be stopped, she cannot be killed, and she WILL get you and your little dog too. We are LUCKY that the Democrats are taking her out, because I dont know if McCain has it in him.

In short:
This plan only works if, in the end Obama is the nominee.
Thats 90% likely but watch out for that 10% chance!


23 posted on 04/23/2008 12:08:15 PM PDT by WOSG (Gameplan: Obama beats Hillary, McCain beats Obama, conservatives beat RINOs)
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To: neverdem

“In a year when they were supposed to do well nationwide, but all of our ills can be traced back to donkeys or their their half baked economic solutions, global warming foolery and sedition over Iraq. Our economy sucks because of left wing handicaps of printing fiat currency, easy credit, over regulation of industry, entitlement spending, etc. Our economy is going nowhere without energy independence, spending discipline and entitlement reform. Unfortunately, our standard bearer, McRino, is economically illiterate and can’t call the donkeys for what they are doing in wishing for defeat in Iraq. “

PING for truth!


24 posted on 04/23/2008 12:30:03 PM PDT by WOSG (Gameplan: Obama beats Hillary, McCain beats Obama, conservatives beat RINOs)
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To: WOSG
This plan only works if, in the end Obama is the nominee.
Thats 90% likely but watch out for that 10% chance!

I got the opposite take on it. The donkey honchos know Hillary is a loser in November. IIRC, one of the latest polls says that over 60% view her as dishonest. Hillary is a known quantity, and they want to get rid of her. Did you notice the speculation about Hillary for NY Governor?

I don't want to leave the fate of the country to mushy headed independents who don't realize that Obama is a radical marxist and who make up their minds in the last few days before the election. If the DNC dumps Obama, then there's a chance to break the stranglehold of donkeys on their most loyal voting block.

25 posted on 04/23/2008 1:37:28 PM PDT by neverdem (I'm praying for a Divine Intervention.)
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To: pointsal

Scary times indeed. My biggest fear is this: that Obama is anything like the company he keeps. If he is, Obama can and will further the goals of black supremacy. I know a black president is coming but let’s not let a radical racist in the white house with affirmative action going full steam, a legal system bent on enriching minorities at the expense of corporate America and numerous government programs that unconstitutionally favor minorities over whites in full effect.


26 posted on 04/23/2008 1:38:34 PM PDT by TheThinker (Capitalism is the natural result of a democratic government.)
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To: Don Corleone

Yes, but the Dem voters do not care. The only thing that could fracture those voters is the Convention gives the Clinton squad the nomination and Obama’s people start a civil war in the Party.


27 posted on 04/23/2008 2:13:09 PM PDT by phillyfanatic
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To: southernnorthcarolina

McCain is a lot like the Nixon/Ford type of Republican, so in many ways, it is like 1972. Nixon gave us price controls, the EPA and a whole bunch of social programs, to coddle the leftists and let him fight the cold war. It didn’t work. We know better now, and it is sad that we are going backward not forward.


28 posted on 04/23/2008 2:26:41 PM PDT by Defiant (McCain's big vein drains mainly from his brain.)
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To: Eleutherios

I’d love to see a debate between Obama and this guy!

Obama’s worst nightmare:

Black & White on the Gray Matters
http://vids.myspace.com/index.cfm?fuseaction=vids.individual&VideoID=26585777

bttt


29 posted on 04/23/2008 2:49:40 PM PDT by Matchett-PI (Operation Chaos supporter wearing T-shirt & cap driving a Hybrid - it burns both gas AND rubber.)
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To: Matchett-PI

BTTT!


30 posted on 04/23/2008 3:36:55 PM PDT by neverdem (I'm praying for a Divine Intervention.)
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To: TheThinker
My biggest fear is this: that Obama is anything like the company he keeps

Well buckle up because your worst fears are true. After incubating for years in hothouse marxist crapholes like Columbia and Harvard, and paying his dues by polishing radical turds in Chicago's south side, why would he be any different from them? He is a Jeremiah Wright with a glib tongue and a good suit instead of a clown costume. He is a William Ayers who temporarily left his bomb in a weapons cache in SanFrancisco, but has demonstrated the same a-hole choice in wives.

Forget character, that's a fool's nonissue. See: William Jefferson Clinton, two time president. See Richard Nixon, ditto. See Jimmuh Cahtuh, half-ditto.

If he gets elected, who do you think he will appoint to all those sensitive positions in the cabinet, the federal courts, and powerful but only dimly visible regulatory agencies? Yep. Same dog crap he's been hanging out with all these years. Why expect anything else?

31 posted on 04/23/2008 7:23:04 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: Defiant
Nixon gave us price controls, the EPA and a whole bunch of social programs, to coddle the leftists and let him fight the cold war. It didn’t work.

Not sure what you mean by "It didn't work."

Nixon won a historic landslide in 1972, after a first term marked by the actions you cite.

32 posted on 04/23/2008 7:26:36 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: Defiant
“McCain is a lot like the Nixon/Ford type of Republican, so in many ways, it is like 1972. Nixon gave us price controls, the EPA and a whole bunch of social programs, to coddle the leftists and let him fight the cold war”

I agree—I think President Ford was the worst Republican President in my life, but he was so much better than Carter, I was startled he lost to him.

Nixon won the Vietnam war (Democrats in Congress lost it after he resigned) and supported China against the Soviets, leading to a rift in that alliance.

He was wrong on a lot and right on some.

McCain is like Nixon and Ford. He is better than both Democratic candidates on both the upside and the downside.

33 posted on 04/23/2008 7:32:18 PM PDT by Forgiven_Sinner (For God so loved the world, that He gave His only Son that whosoever believes in Him should not die)
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To: hinckley buzzard

Nixon tried to buy peace with leftists by accepting many of their programs and beliefs. He got Watergate and hatred for his troubles. He and McCain don’t understand that you cannot get along with liberalism (read: socialism and anti-Americanism). You must simply defeat it.


34 posted on 04/23/2008 7:35:47 PM PDT by Defiant (McCain's big vein drains mainly from his brain.)
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