“McCain will beat either Hillary or Obama by ten or twelve percentage points and a wide margin in the Electoral College.”
Now that is a prediction from deep inside the echo chamber.
Every intangible factor in this election points to a huge Dem win: Change/Bush/GOP fatigue, unpopular war, media hungering for a Dem, Dem base actication at all time high levels, GOP base hate McCain...McCain a weak candidate at best.
What factors do you see, pointing otherwise?
Don’t forget the weak economy and a general hatred of NAFTA.
I'm not sure what he/she sees, but thihgs to consider are that the Beast is despised by at least 45% of Americans. As for Obama, he's on record spouting some really frightening things about nuclear and other weapon freezes. Add to that his determination to surrender in Iraq, which may be a complete losing issue by November. Then consider that he hasn't really been tested and his youthful extreme-leftist activities might not sit well with people that now find him attractive. Beyond all that, nobody really knows what the race/Kenya/Muslim ties thing will add up to. Throw in the fact that many dems and independents might like the fact that many conservatives dislike McCain.
Add it all up, and seems plausible that McCain could do quite well. Or maybe not. Who knows?