“If he manages to get over the Clintoon Machine I think you are wrong. Take a look at the Dem turnout in the Primaries - Over two and sometimes three times the Rep turnout. Couple that with a geriatric Washington Insider who has limited support from his base and who will be hounded continuously by the MSM based on things he’s done as an Insider and IMO you have got a recipe for a Landslide - By Obama.”
Dem turnout surpassed GOP turnout in 1980 and 1988, too. The thing here is that the Democratic primaries have shown that, lo and behold, Obama does in fact have a race and age problem. Even in states like California and Maryland most whites voted for Obama. More recently, I know that more whites have been voting for him, but probably more due to Clinton’s collapsing campaign than anything else. Just look at his poor performance with Hispanics, too, and that gives McCain an opening with that substantial constituency.
Secondly, in state after state, the age gap has been very pronounced with Obama losing the senior vote - often by vast margins. Seniors are a critical constituency and this is an area where Senator McCain’s age could benefit him. The point is that older voters (particularly 65 and older) are less likely to be swayed by Obama’s eloquent, yet empty message.
I think it will be completely in the toilet by November and this will add more impetus to the willingness of the Pipples to jump on the Dem BS. Heck, from what I can tell, it's being held together with Band-Aids now and the proposals being tossed out now promise more, not less, uncertainty and will likely deepen the problems.