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Tsunami Threat Hangs Over Southern Italy
New Scientist ^

Posted on 02/05/2008 1:45:51 PM PST by blam

Tsunami threat hangs over southern Italy

05 February 2008
NewScientist.com news service

Southern Italy's active volcanoes mean that living in the region is not for the risk-averse. Less well known, though, is the threat from the sea.

Tsunamis occur around once a century in the Mediterranean Sea. In 1908, a magnitude 7 earthquake created a tsunami that almost destroyed the Italian cities of Messina and Reggio Calabria.

Stefano Lorito of the National Institute of Geophysics and Vulcanology in Rome and his team used historical data to estimate earthquake risk for three different fault zones in the Mediterranean region, and simulated the tsunami that would result from such a quake. (Journal of Geophysical Research, DOI: 10.1029/2007JB004943).

They found that a major rumble in the quake-prone region off the coast of Greece would trigger a tsunami 5 metres high, which would strike the south-east coasts of Sicily and mainland Italy within an hour. Meanwhile, waves as high as 1.5 metres could be triggered by earthquakes off north Africa and in the Tyrrhenian Sea, north of Sicily.

Other countries could also be vulnerable. "A comparable or even greater threat exists for the coasts of Tunisia, Libya, Egypt and Greece," says Lorito.

From issue 2641 of New Scientist magazine, 05 February 2008, page 15

(Excerpt) Read more at environment.newscientist.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: catastrophism; godsgravesglyphs; italy; threat; tsunami; volcano
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1 posted on 02/05/2008 1:45:54 PM PST by blam
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To: SunkenCiv

Ping.


2 posted on 02/05/2008 1:46:26 PM PST by blam (Secure the border and enforce the law)
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To: SunkenCiv

Ping!


3 posted on 02/05/2008 1:46:58 PM PST by Pyro7480 ("Jesu, Jesu, Jesu, esto mihi Jesus" -St. Ralph Sherwin's last words at Tyburn)
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To: blam
a tsunami 5 metres high,

Must have been heck on the ancients. 15 feet of water across the coastal cities would change the social and political character of the region -- I wonder how many nascent civilizations were wiped out before they had a chance to grow and expand.

4 posted on 02/05/2008 1:52:12 PM PST by BenLurkin
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To: BenLurkin

Uh oh, that’s family territory.


5 posted on 02/05/2008 1:55:54 PM PST by massgopguy (I owe everything to George Bailey)
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To: massgopguy

I grew up near there. AF brat at San Vito Air Station.


6 posted on 02/05/2008 2:02:21 PM PST by Hoffer Rand
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To: blam

run for the hills! the sky is falling!


7 posted on 02/05/2008 2:07:55 PM PST by robomatik (......uh since fred and duncan are out, i think i need a new tagline. =()
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To: blam

South Italy is in a bad spot. They have volcanoes, tsunamis, and Turks. Anything could happen.


8 posted on 02/05/2008 2:10:49 PM PST by RightWhale (oil--the world currency)
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To: blam
Relax. The East Coast of the United States is at more risk thanks to the Canary Islands.
9 posted on 02/05/2008 2:11:09 PM PST by Yo-Yo (USAF, TAC, 12th AF, 366 TFW, 366 MG, 366 CRS, Mtn Home AFB, 1978-81)
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To: robomatik

Sucks to be there, though.

The people running for the hills to avoid the sky falling and the tsunami, are met half way by the people running from the hills because the volcano is exploding...


10 posted on 02/05/2008 2:13:55 PM PST by null and void (Conservatism. It's the new Black...)
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To: Yo-Yo
Relax. The East Coast of the United States is at more risk thanks to the Canary Islands.

The Canary Island flank collapse scenario threatening the East Coast of the US has been thoroughly debunked by the wider community of tsunami scientists; collapse tsunamis have difficulty propagating long distances.

Much of the original science in that was flawed. Of course, the media never bothered to tell you about the many scientists that debunked the original highly publicized theory.

By any conceivable measure the tsunami threat to Southern Italy and Sicily is orders of magnitude greater than that to the east coast of the US.

11 posted on 02/05/2008 2:17:36 PM PST by Strategerist
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To: RightWhale
South Italy is in a bad spot. They have volcanoes, tsunamis, and Turks. Anything could happen.

And a garbage strike that has achieved crisis level!

12 posted on 02/05/2008 2:23:56 PM PST by mancini
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To: Yo-Yo
"Relax. The East Coast of the United States is at more risk thanks to the Canary Islands."

Nah.

La Palma Tsunami (The mega-hyped tidal wave story)

13 posted on 02/05/2008 2:28:47 PM PST by blam (Secure the border and enforce the law)
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To: blam

Yieks! My family and I are stationed in Sicily. This does not sound good.


14 posted on 02/05/2008 2:30:18 PM PST by napscoordinator
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To: Yo-Yo
Canary Islands Landslides And Mega-Tsunamis: Should We Really Be Frightened?
15 posted on 02/05/2008 2:30:21 PM PST by blam (Secure the border and enforce the law)
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To: null and void
"The people running for the hills to avoid the sky falling and the tsunami, are met half way by the people running from the hills because the volcano is exploding."

Then there's Constantines Meteor.

About the size of a football field: The impact crater left behind

16 posted on 02/05/2008 2:33:50 PM PST by blam (Secure the border and enforce the law)
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To: Strategerist; blam
The paper that started it all:

http://www.es.ucsc.edu/~ward/papers/La_Palma_grl.pdf

Like Global Warming, there are experts on both sides.

17 posted on 02/05/2008 2:37:33 PM PST by Yo-Yo (USAF, TAC, 12th AF, 366 TFW, 366 MG, 366 CRS, Mtn Home AFB, 1978-81)
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To: blam
Tsunami Threat Hangs Over Southern Italy All Coastal Regions of the World

There. Fixed it.

18 posted on 02/05/2008 2:41:59 PM PST by Migraine (...diversity is great... until it happens to YOU...)
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To: Strategerist

So the giant scour marks in Australia that all point right at Hawaii were made by . . .


19 posted on 02/05/2008 3:05:53 PM PST by Born to Conserve
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To: blam; Pyro7480
Thanks Blam and Pyro7480.
In 1908, a magnitude 7 earthquake created a tsunami that almost destroyed the Italian cities of Messina and Reggio Calabria.
Messina, Bell, Messina! is the heart of it. lf they'd followed my plan, I'd be there by now. I'd cut off the retreat of every [deleted] German on this island. [/patton flashback]
20 posted on 02/05/2008 9:40:38 PM PST by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/__________________Profile updated Wednesday, January 16, 2008)
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