Posted on 01/18/2008 8:06:19 AM PST by dangus
Huckabee, 22% McCain, 21% Romney, 19% Thompson, 12% Giuliani, 10% Ron Paul, 3% Some other Republican (named Duncan Hunter), ?%
My own notes Please note that any Republican is likely to do better in the electoral college than in the general election. Ohio is much more solidly Republican, after they've tasted Democrats running the state; Michigan is sick of their own female, liberal chief executive. And I predict Hillary "beats the spread" in very conservative states (leaving them comfortably Republican), and wastefully piles on the victory margins in very liberal states (NY, etc.), but underperforms in the purplish industrial states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and the aforementioned Michigan and Ohio.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Polls are showing McCain and Thompson surging. Huckabee and Rudy dropping. I am guessing Thompson is picking up the Huckabee votes and McCain is picking up the Rudy votes. On the plus side, that means if Huckabee has more room to drop since Rudy is close to zero, so Thompson has a chance if Huck keeps falling.
The article does indeed seem to be about a National poll.
“first thing I noticed..FRed is coming on strong!”
Sorry, but you are misreading the numbers. Fred is a 12% nationally, where he has been for a long time.
This bodes best for Romney supporters because Romney has gone from about 13% to 19% since his win in MI. I do suspect that a 1&2 by McCain & Huckabee (or visa versa) will boost them both back into a clear lead of all others. Thus, I think Romney’s numbers will drop back to about 15% after S.C. However, as always, I must stress my predictive powers are lame at best.
Huckabee and McCain are tied in S.C. So, they will probably be one and two (I don’t know the order). Fred and Mitt will be vying for third and fourth place.
The question in my mind is.....will Thompson pull out if he only comes in third or fourth? Is S.C. the “line in the sand” he said it was?
Did you notice that there's a place for your own comments when posting?
Please use it and avoid implying that Rasmussen has an opinion on Michigan or Ohio incumbents.
Maybe he'll leave after Romney wins big in Nevada. Note that I'm NOT a Romney supporter (see my tagline), but Hunter clearly has no chance and I hope that he leaves after giving it his best shot and endorses Fred.
We conservatives will never beat out the media-supported RINOs if we don't stick together, and it is verging on too late.
Uh-huh.
This is a national poll. The latest SC Rasmussen poll has McCain and the Huckster tied at 24%, Romney at 18% and Fred at 16%. I hope Fred can pull it off. I am headed to the Beacon in Spartanburg in a bit to offer my support ... and have a chili-cheese-a-plenty.
GO FRED!!!
Fred’s at 12. The 19 is Romney.
You seem to be following this more closely. Do you really think Fred has a chance, or should I get pessimistic and just hope Romney can take out McCain and the Huckster?
Sadly, I'm not optimistic about SC.Me neither. I'm already starting to think of what to do "after Fred". I hope I'm wrong, but I think I'm right.
Why endorse Fred? His last hope of gaining any momentum whatsoever is in SC and it looks like he has no shot.
The best shot for either one of them is the brokered convention.
That’s romney. The numbers are after the names
Hello ? How would being a quitter enhance Hunter’s reputation among conservatives ?
Frankly, as the best conservative in the race, I hope Hunter stays in it ‘til the very end.
All these polls are garbage. Some are even stacked to show Huck or McNut a leader by the RATS to try to influence Republican voters.
Good grief. At least let the guy get through the first southern primary before you bail on him.
Which poll?
| Huckabee | 22% |
| McCain | 21% |
| Romney | 19% |
| Thompson | 12% |
| Giuliani | 10% |
| Ron Paul | 3% |
| Duncan Hunter) | ?% |
Nationally
So we should just vote for who is polling the best even if we disagree with them?
The polls are a mess. Rasmussen has SC as a tie and Zogby has McCain leading by 7 points. Both polls taken around the same time.
In FL, Insider Advantage shows a 3-way tie between Romney, McCain, and Rudy at 20% each followed by Huckabee at 13%. Thompson seems to have lost all support in FL and that support has gone to Romney since Mitt’s Michigan win.
9% in SC, and 13% in Florida say they have not made up their minds yet. Over 20% in each state say they may change their mind before casting a vote.
So this thing is very fluid right now. It depends on who shows up to vote.
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