I’m for Fred, but if I lived in Michigan, I’d probably vote for Mitt, since Fred isn’t competitive there.
Fred’s only chance (and I admit it’s a slim one) is for the race to be thrown into turmoil, as a Mitt win in Michigan just might do. In that event, you’d have a Huck win in Iowa, a McCain win in New Hampshire, a Mitt win in Michigan, and a chance of a Fred win in South Carolina and a Rudy win in Florida. Can you say chaos?
Common wisdom says that a long battle for the nomination (possibly extending to the convention floor) would hurt the GOP. I think the conventional wisdom is wrong in this case. We’d be able to train our fire on the Dem winner (and I think either Hil or BHO will have it locked up by Super Tuesday), but the Dems won’t know who to fire back at for a while.
If, on the other hand, McCain wins tonight, he’d be odds-on for the GOP nomination, and odds-on for making Bob Dole look like a political dynamo by comparison.
Go Mitt!
What happened to Romney winning WY? IIRC, they actually have number of delegates comparable to that of NH.