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To: Dog Gone
I think you're right. The early state strategy is all about "The Big Mo'", but, so far, no man has won two states in a row. That bodes well for those who focused on later states, meaning Rudy and, to a lesser extent, Fred. It certainly does not help those who've spent their wad in Iowa and New Hampshire.

I think you're going to see a lot more of Fred if he wins South Carolina, and a whole lot more of Rudy in the runup to Florida regardless. That could put a whole lot of play into some already fluid national numbers going into Super Tuesday.

I don't think we'll really know anything about where this race is going until February 6th.
1,156 posted on 01/15/2008 6:58:57 PM PST by The Pack Knight (Duty, Honor, Country.)
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To: The Pack Knight

Do you think the lack of any consistent “front runner” could result in NO candidate having the delegates for the nomination and we could be looking at a brokered convention?

There is obviously no consensus candidate (since there is not truly conservative candidate out there - sorry to all of you freepers who are in love with Fred). Could we continue to see a fractured Republican party over the next several months and have a scenario where a real conservative (pick your favorite one here, being from PA I like Santorum) might emerge at the convention and win the nomination?


1,188 posted on 01/15/2008 7:04:59 PM PST by GodBlessAmericaKD
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To: The Pack Knight
I don't think we'll really know anything about where this race is going until February 6th.

Perhaps...McCain was no doubt on the trail of some momentum tonight; but Mitt, thankfully, did what he had to do. This thing is wide open; and I, a Hunter and Fred backer- in that order, can see the possibility of this race for the nomination going down to the convention.
1,211 posted on 01/15/2008 7:10:23 PM PST by PerConPat (A politician is an animal which can sit on a fence and yet keep both ears to the ground.-- Mencken)
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To: The Pack Knight

“I think you’re right. The early state strategy is all about “The Big Mo’”, but, so far, no man has won two states in a row. That bodes well for those who focused on later states, meaning Rudy and, to a lesser extent, Fred. It certainly does not help those who’ve spent their wad in Iowa and New Hampshire.”

Rudy is toast. You don’t get a nomination by being in single digits in the first 5 states. It just doesnt happen. Unless he wins real big in FL, which I dont see happening, he’s a no-show.

And Fred... we’ll he put a stake in the ground in Iowa and got 3rd. Now he’s standing his ground in SC. He will need to be 1st, or at a minimum beat Huckabee decisively, to stay viable.

Romney is winning the nomination the right way. He’s been in every state and either won or placed. He’s going to make an effort in SC and in FL and is still in the race unless he drops off badly there. He won’t imho. Romney will probably win NV.

McCain lost MI but can recover if he wins SC. Then on to FL where it’s a battle royale.

At this point, it looks like the two candidates with the best paths to nomination are McCain and Romney. Huck, Rudy and Thompson have a chance, albeit slim, and its still an open race. Thank you Mitt for slowing down the McCain amnesty express!!!


1,454 posted on 01/15/2008 9:23:08 PM PST by WOSG (Proamnesty-antiBushtaxcuts-proCO2caps-CFR-RINO John McCain delenda est!)
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