Posted on 01/03/2008 11:39:37 PM PST by Maelstorm
A Hard Loss for Romney By John Ellis
It's one thing to lose as you are. What you lose is an election, but there's always another election and in the case of presidential primary politics, a new electorate that awaits you in the next state. It's another thing to lose as you aren't. Mitt Romney was never the 700 Club right-winger his campaign managers conceived. He was and is a man of business and a very capable one at that.
He's all but doomed now. Senator John McCain will beat him in New Hampshire, probably by a lot, and Romney's media coverage will evaporate and his candidacy will consequently die. On January 9, his managers will walk in and say that the campaign needs $10 million or $15 million to continue and that he, Romney, will have to write the check. Everyone who would contribute has maxed out. Everyone who might won't. Two-time losers don't get new money. It's a basic rule of politics.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Fixed it.
I think everyone benefits from his supporters but primarily Thompson and McCain. Mitt supporters just aren’t really compatible with Huckabee. I do think they are more practical than Huckabee supporters would be. Someone needs to deconstruct Huckabee. Rush has tried to do it gently but he has failed because he isn’t attacking in the right weak spot.
He needs to attack Huckabee’s Baptist credentials because that is where he is getting his core support. He is not getting it because of his policy ideas.
And then there is the Arkansas connection. Hillery could very well have planned to lose in Iowa to get this dynamic rolling, with large numbers of Hillery supporters registering as Republicans to vote for Huckabee.
As usual, when the Clintons are involved, we can always assume the worst, and those assumptions are usually right.
Iowans are not dumb, but the consensus is that they are. Iowans may have simply followed a game plan with Bill Clinton calling the strategic shots in the background.
A lot of Hucks voters were actually democrats who had changed their registrations to Republican, according to anecdotal evidence. But the dems only show their voters by percentages in Iowa, we do not get the numbers. The dems pushed Huckster, so that the nations swing voters will assume that the religious right is trying to take over the country.
Pretty shrewd planning.
And then there is the Arkansas connection. Hillery could very well have planned to lose in Iowa to get this dynamic rolling, with large numbers of Hillery supporters registering as Republicans to vote for Huckabee.
As usual, when the Clintons are involved, we can always assume the worst, and those assumptions are usually right.
Iowans are not dumb, but the consensus is that they are. Iowans may have simply followed a game plan with Bill Clinton calling the strategic shots in the background.
Most of the pundits are saying that McCain was a big winner in Iowa because of Romney’s loss. However, I believe McCain has suffered a bit of a setback because of Obama’s huge Iowa victory.
Obama’s win will likely cause most New Hampshire independents to choose a Democrat ballot instead of a Republican one. I still think McCain is the favorite to win New Hampshire, but it could be very close.
I don’t think Romney will endorse anyone.
He’s had really nasty, personal battles with just about everyone. And he can’t very well endorse anyone that he’s called a liberal. So taking both of these points into consideration, that leaves just Fred, Ron Paul, and None of the Above.
I think Mitt will win NH or be a very close second there, unlike Iowa.
Also with a lot of endorsements in SC, Mitt would do well there.
So it is quite premature to write Mitt Romney off.
When it comes to super tuesday, I am not sure Mitt can do that well, I still think Giuliani might do quite well on super tuesday to get the nomination.
I don't know that that's the case.
I still think McCain is the favorite to win New Hampshire, but it could be very close.
McCain was leading in New Hampshire even before Mitt got his butt kicked in Iowa. The big question is if Mitt will even be 2nd in New Hampshire -- he could conceivably be passed by Huckabee and RON PAUL!
Mitt can only pull it off in NH if he attacks both McCain and Huckabee hard and relentlessly and I just don’t think their is enough time. The most he can hope to do is catch Huckabee off guard at the debate Saturday. He needs to do something to throw off Huckabee’s nice guy image. Provoke him. I don’t know what would do it but then again I’m not running the Romney campaign. He also needs to get McCain to blow his top.
The way to do that with Huck is to find a way to question his Baptist credentials provoking him to attacking Romney’s Mormon ism. It would be risky but it would definently provoke a reaction. If I were him I’d simply call McCain and I’d make the true allegation that McCain supported amnesty. Then when McCain replys with “He never has supported Amnesty” I’d call him a liar in the nicest way possible by saying “John, you know that just isn’t true.”.
I don’t know debates are never guarantees. I’d like to see Mitt leave the race quickly so we can get on to dismantling Huckabee.
Did Romney really spend $8 million in Iowa as Ed Rollins claimed? Hard to believe. And also, why would Mitt “have” to drop out after NH, since the guy is worth around $400 million?
Ahhh... thank you Huckabee suppoters in Iowa for stomping Romney out of existence. You’ve done the GOP a great favor.
Regards,
Star Traveler
I just had more joy after I read this. The arrogance of the Romney camp is astounding.
http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1700130,00.html
I think Mitt will win NH. We got Fred running well and he will suck up some McCain votes. I’m happy that Fred kept McCain at 4th place. We got 5 days to knock some sense into NH and I am sure Mitt will beat McCain in a close race. Once we get NH, by that time McCain and Fred will run out of media and money and everyone will wakeup and realize that only Mitt stands between them and Huck.
Polls mean nothing. Most people hang up when called by a pollster and evangelicals tend to not be comfortable giving ANY information over the phone. The question is whether or not G-D fearing, Jesus loving people will return to the GOP.
In the last election they stayed home and the Republicans lost the House and Senate.
You said — “Romney is obsessed with being elected President and he will not accept defeat gracefully. The Romneys are OWED the Presidency that was stolen from George Romney, it’s his birthright, he’s done everything right, he WILL have it, it is HIS, his precioussssssss.....”
I suppose the Mormons haven’t told you how they expect to save the United States from oblivion — in one of their prophecies. Perhaps Romney thinks he’s that Mormon guy who is supposed to be the “salvation” for the United States.
If that’s the case (and that’s what he thinks), we gotta make sure that Romney never gets in office. That’s all we need is a Mormon Messiah complex, a guy who thinks he fulfills his church’s prophecy... LOL...
Regards,
Star Traveler
I hope Fred and Obama will eat up the McCain votes.
Well, you don’t know that the GOP can’t bring any candidate into the Presidency without the Evangelicals — and the Evangelicals are not going to elect a cult member for President.
Game over...
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