I get the impression, these MSM folks are actually scared of what Thompson represents... and that makes me smile :-)
Wow, a socialist “news” organization predicts doom for Fred, based on a projected vote by a disappearingly small segment of people participating in Kabuki theater.
I like your irrepressible spirit.
I think it’s possible Hunter may beat Thompson in Iowa. I guess we’ll see in a couple of days.
Over at Intrade, the Nomination contracts show McCain surging, overtaking Romney. Thompson has dropped down to 2%, Hunter is still at 0.1, and the volume has dropped to zero.
2008 Republican Presidential Nominee
2008.GOP.NOM.GIULIANI 27.6
2008.GOP.NOM.ROMNEY 22.8
2008.GOP.NOM.MCCAIN 24.5
2008.GOP.NOM.HUCKABEE 9.5
2008.GOP.NOM.PAUL 7.3
2008.GOP.NOM.THOMPSON(F) 2.0
2008.GOP.NOM.HUNTER 0.1
However, in the President.Field contract, where Hunter is embedded (and Ron Paul is NOT), the contract has been gaining volume and is up 100%, within 0.6 of Thompson.
2008.PRES.FIELD
Field (any other candidate) to win 2008 US Presidential Election M 0.3 0.4 0.3 15299 +0.0
2008.PRES.THOMPSON(F)
Fred Thompson to win 2008 US Presidential Election M 0.9 1.0 0.9 34721 -0.1
Rasmussen has started using Intrade results.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1945852/posts
They seem to openly admit that the data for Iowa between Christmas and New Year’s is unreliable: “Rasmussen Reports has not conducted polling in Iowa between Christmas and New Years. We have doubts about the ability to obtain reliable results during that time frame.”
Huckabee has surged because he won a couple of debates and he’s got evangelical support. If a quick rise can happen to the liberal pro-life evangelical Huckster, it can happen to the conservative pro-life evangelical Hunter.
Thompson tops the list of most likely to drop out in January, per Intrade. Judging from momentum, Thompson is the one who won’t be on the ballot in February.
DROPOUT.JAN08.(F)THOMPSON
Fred Thompson to drop out of 2008 Presidential race on/before 31 Jan 2008 M 35.0 98.9 40.0 70 0
The chances of a brokered GOP convention are 15%
REP.NOM.2008.BROKERED
The 2008 Republican Pres. Nominee to be selected at a Brokered Convention M 15.0 20.0 15.0 60 0
Here’s a snapshot of the Iowa Caucus. Huckabee has regained the lead. Thompson has rebounded from yesterday’s fall all the way down to 0.1. Unfortunately, Hunter and Ron Paul are still embedded in the Field, so if you wanted to put your money down on Hunter it would cost $4, whereas it would only cost 80cents for Thompson today. It does show that the Field is coming in 3rd place for Iowa. That’s where I’m hoping that Hunter will actually beat Thompson, as unlikely as that is. But Iowans have surprised us in the past, and that’s usually because they tend to weed out the ones who are not authentic and prop up the ones who are. Hunter is the real deal, so he still has a chance over the next couple of days.
Winner of 2008 Republican Iowa Caucus
REP.IOWA.HUCKABEE 65.0
REP.IOWA.ROMNEY 37.0
REP.IOWA.MCCAIN 2.9
REP.IOWA.THOMPSON(F) 0.8
REP.IOWA.GIULIANI 0.1
REP.IOWA.FIELD 4.0
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According to Intrade, the winner of the December 12th GOP debate was... Duncan Hunter.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1938773/posts
Why the smart money is on Duncan Hunter
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1926032/posts
In this poll Hunter is up 3% and even with Paul and Thompson.
http://www.wxyz.com/news/local/story.aspx?content_id=3481ef60-8195-46a9-af04-b87b907bcfdd
Another hate Fred thread from FR`s resident jackass.
I like Fred a lot but he just seems quite tired is my first impression. And a stumble-talker when discussing issues unscripted. Both of these are very bad appearances for a presidential candidate.
Fred needs a B-12 shot and more sleep.
Didn’t you get into trouble a while back for garbage like this?
“Low Key”, “Lazy” Thompson’s schedule for today:
8:30 am
Fred Thompson does a live interview on “Morning in America” with Bill Bennett
10:35 am
Fred Thompson does a live interview on “The Laura Ingraham Show”
11:45 am
Fred Thompson is a guest on Fox News’ “Happening Now”
1:50 pm
Fred Thompson meets with voters at event in Waterloo, Iowa
4:15 pm
Fred Thompson meets with voters at event in Cedar Rapids, Iowa
6:00 pm
Fred Thompson does a live interview on “The Mark Levin Show.”
7:00 pm
Fred Thompson meets with voters at event in Davenport, Iowa
10:00 pm
Jeri Thompson does a live interview on Fox News’s “On the Record with Great Van Susteren”
11:00 pm
Fred Thompson does a live in studio interview with KCCI’s Kevin Cooney and Stacey Horst in Des Moines, Iowa
Funny how the media thinks one event on New Year is worth a whole article, but the above list doesn’t get a mention.
Qwinn
Sort of funny in that someone else reported travelling with Thompson to over 30 stops that day.
Wow, you make Duncan look bad. Duncan should ask you to back down as you are making them all look bad. In fact, you may be the reason he never caught on in the first place.
Is that the “royal we”, dear? Or has the psychosis spread to the mouse in your pocket?
Gotta tell ya, I’m depressed about how poorly Thompson is doing. There’s no one else I wanted to vote for.
You’ll be waiting for some time, pissant.
Here's what Novak is predicting:
Thompson/Hunter ‘08
I hope Fred got to enjoy some good football yesterday.