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Is This What Victory Looks Like?
Captain's Quarters ^ | Nov. 21, 2007 | Ed Morrissey

Posted on 11/20/2007 10:45:55 PM PST by jdm

The momentum has been shifting away from the terrorists in Iraq and towards peace ever since the US demonstrated its commitment to the mission with the surge. Over the last five months, violence has dropped precipitously and normality has begun to return, which even the New York Times noticed yesterday. Some skeptics still insist that the situation only improved because Iraqis left the country in droves.

Guess who's coming back to town? (via AJ Strata)

The figures are hard to estimate precisely but the process could involve hundreds of thousands of people. The numbers are certainly large enough, as we report today, for a mass convoy to be planned next week as Iraqis who had opted for exile in Syria return to their homeland. It is one of the most striking signs that not only has violence in Baghdad and adjacent provinces decreased dramatically in recent months, but confidence in the economic and political future of Iraq has risen sharply. Nor is this movement the action of men and women who could easily reverse course and turn back again. Tighter visa restrictions imposed by Damascus mean that those who are returning to Iraq cannot assume that they could quickly retreat again to Syria if that suited them. This is, for many, a one-way decision. It represents a vote of confidence in Iraq.

The homecoming is not an isolated development. The security situation in Baghdad, while far from totally peaceful, has improved substantially in the past few months, with civilian fatalities falling by three quarters since the early summer. This has been reflected on the streets with markets, clubs and restaurants that had been closed for months, especially at night, now reopening. This good news has not attracted the attention that it should because critics of the conflict in 2003 and its aftermath have been extremely reluctant to acknowledge progress in the country. Yet even observers from publications long hostile to US policy in Iraq, such as The New York Times, are finally conceding that “the violence has diminished significantly since the United States reinforced troop levels in Iraq and adopted a new counter-insurgency strategy”.

The “surge” associated with General David Petraeus is indeed paying extraordinary dividends. The positive effects were seen in Anbar province, which had become a hotbed of Sunni resistance to the overthrow of Saddam Hussein, and are increasingly seen in the Iraqi capital. It has enabled Sunnis to disassociate themselves decisively from al-Qaeda in Iraq, in effect switching sides, while some of the extreme Shias linked to the rebel cleric Moqtada al-Sadr have felt obliged to observe a ceasefire. All these fundamental shifts have allowed Iraqis the chance to rebuild an economy that, particularly with oil at its current price, should be among the strongest in their region. This opportunity has been recognised by exiles such as those who have been located in Syria. Iraq can only benefit from the return of some of its most talented citizens.

Over the last few weeks, Iraqis had begun to call their neighbors back home. As Michael Yon explained in our interview on November 8th, this is not just because they wanted company. Iraqis tend to remain in their neighborhoods for life, and the community knows and trusts its members. The Iraqis want to ensure that the people who move into the empty houses are the same people who vacated them in the first place.

AJ Strata wonders whether a signal has been sent to trigger this return. Several signals have been sent. The rebuilding and opening of St. John's Church in Baghdad sent a signal that sectarian warfare has ended. The renaissance of trade signaled that jobs have begun appearing. Their friends and family signaled to them that Baghdad and most of Iraq has become secure enough to come home.

The Americans -- mainly the Bush administration -- signaled that the US would not abandon Iraq to the butchers of al-Qaeda and the depredations of sectarian extremists.

Clearly, the Iraqis know something significant has changed in Iraq. Even if one wants to suggest that Petraeus decided to trash his career by lying to Congress and that the Pentagon somehow sees benefit in throwing away the lives of its soldiers to cover up a debacle, Iraqis themselves have no interest in lying to the world and marching back to death. Their return demonstrates their understanding that the situation has dramatically shifted in favor of freedom and liberty and away from terrorism and war. No amount of spin can explain this away.


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: baghdad; iraq

1 posted on 11/20/2007 10:45:56 PM PST by jdm
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To: Allegra; jveritas; SandRat

ping.


2 posted on 11/20/2007 10:46:28 PM PST by jdm
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To: jdm

Yes this is what VICTROY looks like :)


3 posted on 11/20/2007 10:49:30 PM PST by jveritas (God bless our brave troops and President Bush)
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To: jdm


Deeply Saddened.
4 posted on 11/20/2007 10:50:38 PM PST by Kozak (Anti Shahada: There is no god named Allah, and Muhammed is a false prophet)
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To: jdm

Yes, victory in Iraq. Good Article.

.

.

Why the smart money is on Duncan Hunter
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1926032/posts
Posted on 11/15/2007 3:43:17 AM PST by Kevmo


5 posted on 11/20/2007 10:56:08 PM PST by Kevmo (We should withdraw from Iraq — via Tehran. And Duncan Hunter is just the man to get that job done.)
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To: jdm
No amount of spin can explain this away.

Tell that to Congressman Murtha, who has decided to wager his family's reputation for all of eternity on this very possibility.

Ried and Pelosi aren't far behind either.

In the future I may begin to refer to these folks by the nickname "Code Stink".

6 posted on 11/21/2007 12:00:39 AM PST by DoughtyOne (California, where the death penalty is reserved for wholesome values. SB 777)
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To: DoughtyOne

We won’t see to much in the media about this. I’d be really shocked if we do and then it’ll have some slant to it.


7 posted on 11/21/2007 1:01:59 AM PST by WVNight (We havn't played Cowboys and Muslims yet....)
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To: WVNight

I agree. At some point the media is going to address what is taking place in the war though, but they will spin it as the democrats forcing some action that resulted in victory.


8 posted on 11/21/2007 1:34:06 AM PST by DoughtyOne (California, where the death penalty is reserved for wholesome values. SB 777)
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To: Kozak

He should be called Senator Betrayus. Its nice to see that voting with your feet can work both ways. In Dingy Orwellian universe winning is losing and losing is winning. By winning in Iraq we are actually losing. The dims, losing in congress are actually winning. These people are truly self-delusional and if they kept it to themselves that would be fine. But they have managed to snare a third of the country in their delusion. It remains a mystery to me how liberals can function day to day. They seem to be able to convince themselves that red is green and green is red. This could make crossing the street or driving a very difficult and dangerous task.


9 posted on 11/21/2007 2:55:12 AM PST by appeal2 (r)
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To: jdm

What’s it going to take to convince the Mexican migrant workers to return home?


10 posted on 11/21/2007 6:07:57 AM PST by weegee (End the Bush-Bush-Bush-Clinton/Clinton-Clinton/Clinton-Bush-Bush-Clinton/Clinton Oligarchy 1980-2012)
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To: jdm

The steps the other side will take:

“We’re losing—vote Democratic to end the war!”

“Okay, we’re not losing, but we’re not getting the troops out fast enough. Vote Democratic to bring the troops home!”

“Okay, so the troops are coming home, but the war was a complete waste. Vote Democratic to ensure no future wasteful wars!”

“Okay, so we gave Al-Qaeda a crushing defeat and made our country much safer. Now we don’t have to worry about radical Islam anymore and we can slash our defense and we can spend all our tax money on vote buying—I mean, domestic spending! And who is better at spending tax money? Vote Democratic!”


11 posted on 11/21/2007 8:09:09 AM PST by Our man in washington
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To: weegee

that is possably the funniest and most accuret statement i have ever read

Rock on weegee


12 posted on 11/21/2007 8:32:31 AM PST by 537cant be wrong (vampires stole my lunch money !)
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