At the sight of that, Reagan started spinning in his grave fast enough to power a small city.
Posted on 11/08/2007 1:00:48 PM PST by Spiff
[SNIP]
In the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination, Rudy Giuliani attracts 23% of Likely Republican Primary voters nationwide. Fred Thompson earns 15% of the vote followed closely by Mitt Romney at 14%, John McCain at 12%, and Mike Huckabee at 11% Ron Paul, in the aftermath of a huge fundraising day, jumps to 5% while no other Republican tops 1% (see recent daily numbers).
New data released today shows Romney’s lead growing in New Hampshire with Giuliani and McCain battling for second place. Strange as it may seem, Hillary Clinton’s performance in the Iowa caucuses may have a significant impact on the Republican Primary in New Hampshire. There remains no clear frontrunner in this race, but 20% think Giuliani is Very Likely to win the nomination.
Other data released today shows Huckabee in a very competitive general election match-up with Clinton. With virtually all GOP candidates, Clinton’s level of support remains in the 46% to 49% range.
[SNIP]
The Rasmussen Reports Election 2008 Presidential Tracking Poll is updated daily, Monday through Friday. The Presidential Tracking Poll will be updated seven days a week beginning Saturday, December 1, 2007. Daily results are based upon a four day rolling average and new results are posted each day by noon Eastern.
Daily tracking results are from survey interviews conducted over four days ending last night. Each update includes approximately 750 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 600 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Rasmussen Reports provides a weekly analysis of both the Republican and Democratic race each Monday.
Romney’s support, state and national, is thin. Don’t count on it on election day.
Well, if that is true, why is Fred trending down, not up? Hunter also talks commonsense on the issues, doesn't flip-flop, but has gone absolutely nowhere. Apparently it takes more than talkin' commonsense and not flip-flopping.
Any poll of Iowa is meaningless. They don’t accurately gauge who will go to the caucus on a cold winter’s night. Check the historical record or ask Howard Dean.
Romney’s my second choice...but he doesn’t “get it” like Fred does. I also don’t think he’s as electable against Her Heinous.
The trend is that Romney’s support goes up and down all the time but is now and has always been below Thompson. And Fred just started running ads.
I’ll agree on that...Romney is weaker than Thompson in a national race...Thompson has the potential to keep the “Bush states” at this point, but I am seeing (from polls and other discussions) a lot of softness is some southern states that doesn’t bode well WHOEVER the Republican nominee is...
That is where the Ame's Straw Poll comes in. Which Romney won handily.
That would be the one that FDT (not even in the race yet), and McCain and Guliani didn’t participate in, right?
Go Mitt Go!!!
What I hope in the future for Mitt is to bring on pro-Israel pro-Zionist policy advisor to his campaign. This will get a Pastor Hagee endorsement and bring in Jewish voters.
Spencer Abraham on the Fred campaign is a terrific asset for us. This will need to be exploited.
“In the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination, Rudy Giuliani attracts 23% of Likely Republican Primary voters nationwide. Fred Thompson earns 15% of the vote followed closely by Mitt Romney at 14%, John McCain at 12%, and Mike Huckabee at 11% Ron Paul, in the aftermath of a huge fundraising day, jumps to 5% while no other Republican tops 1% (see recent daily numbers).”
Out of this crowd my first choice is Thompson followed by Mitt and then surprise of surprises, Ron Paul. Ron Paul is added by default, because I’m never casting a vote for Trudy, Lettuce Boy or Huckleberry.
>>>Mitt has outspent all candidates by far. Guess who’s not doing that well based on the data? Romney, of course.<<<
Guess who is holding double digit leads in the earliest primary states and could well take the first 6 (IA, NH, SC, MI, WY, NV)?
If that happened, it would be game, set, match. Really, if Romney took South Carolina after wins in Iowa and New Hampshire, you could say the exact same thing.
Romney would be the nominee. Support would hemorrage from Giuliani.
And that would be a very good thing.
Those graphs pretty must depict the trajectory of this upcoming election.
And if you’re Mitt Romney, you’ve got all the encouragement in the world to turn on the jets and finish this thing. He’s put himself in excellent position and run a very effective campaign.
Tell `em Festus!
“Hmm... judging by the two-month span, everyone else is pretty much steady. Thompson is slipping big time.
Where’s all that support going?”
It appears to be going between Huckabee and McCain, since both have risen recently. Of course, that could be undecideds starting to become decided.
Fred’s decline in the polls seems to have begun when he said of the Schiavo case (on 9/13)
“I can’t pass judgment on it. I know that good people were doing what they thought was best,” Thompson said. “That’s going back in history. I don’t remember the details of it.”
Here’s another chart.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/charts/?poll_id=192
Opinions differ. That’s mine.
One thing many here are forgetting, is that there is no national primary. Rather, it is 50 individual races. Ergo, what should matter is how candidates are doing in those respective states, with primacy given to the early ones.
While not committed to any candidate yet, you gotta hand it to Romney for the way he’s conducting his campaign. That a Mormon & Republican from Mass has managed to snare the leads in Iowa, NH and SC (or a tie-—depends on the poll) is quite impressive. Is it a blip or indicative of the future, as those early states typically pay more attention to politics than non-early primary states?
And, if one is to draw conclusions from the national trend graph above, you can see that Huckabee is trending up while Fred is trending down. Will be an interesting race.
Whoever becomes the GOP nominee, let’s pray we can beat Hillary. We should ALL agree on that one!
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