Posted on 11/08/2007 1:00:48 PM PST by Spiff
[SNIP]
In the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination, Rudy Giuliani attracts 23% of Likely Republican Primary voters nationwide. Fred Thompson earns 15% of the vote followed closely by Mitt Romney at 14%, John McCain at 12%, and Mike Huckabee at 11% Ron Paul, in the aftermath of a huge fundraising day, jumps to 5% while no other Republican tops 1% (see recent daily numbers).
New data released today shows Romney’s lead growing in New Hampshire with Giuliani and McCain battling for second place. Strange as it may seem, Hillary Clinton’s performance in the Iowa caucuses may have a significant impact on the Republican Primary in New Hampshire. There remains no clear frontrunner in this race, but 20% think Giuliani is Very Likely to win the nomination.
Other data released today shows Huckabee in a very competitive general election match-up with Clinton. With virtually all GOP candidates, Clinton’s level of support remains in the 46% to 49% range.
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The Rasmussen Reports Election 2008 Presidential Tracking Poll is updated daily, Monday through Friday. The Presidential Tracking Poll will be updated seven days a week beginning Saturday, December 1, 2007. Daily results are based upon a four day rolling average and new results are posted each day by noon Eastern.
Daily tracking results are from survey interviews conducted over four days ending last night. Each update includes approximately 750 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 600 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Rasmussen Reports provides a weekly analysis of both the Republican and Democratic race each Monday.
Romney recovers from a brief low in these polls. Huckabee's bounce appears to be over as he continues to hover barely over single digits. McCain's odd bounce seems to have faded as well. Giuliani appears to be holding steady, although his support is not nearly as strong as it used to be.
I hate it when I misspell the title of a thread. Grrr....
The cheaper labor lobbies need to infuse more money into the Huckster's campaign now! It looks like Clinton isn't a shoe-in to enact "comprehensive immigration reform."
Thank God for that. He’s the worst of the bunch with the possible exception of Fruity Ruity.
*snicker*
Haven’t heard about that. What did you think of it when you read it?
Hmm... judging by the two-month span, everyone else is pretty much steady. Thompson is slipping big time.
Where’s all that support going?
Thompson's low is 15, Mitt the phony's low is 10. Thompson's high is much higher too (and can easily get those back). Mitt has outspent all candidates by far. Guess who's not doing that well based on the data? Romney, of course.
But Mitt has something Fred does not... early State primary support. Will that matter in this years compressed primary? Only time will tell, but he has a much more credible pathway to the Presidency than Fred does.
I think Thompson, being the “grassroots” candidate, fully expected to get the socon vote by default. Unfortunately for him, socons have not found Romney and Huckabee to be nearly as distasteful as was expected by the Thompson camp. Also, McCain’s supporters, who were supposed to bail to Thompson as McCain fell, returned back to McCain, boosting him back into the race.
Be that as it may, given the trends, it should not surprise anyone if Romney passes Thompson in Rasmussen's polls in the near future.
Thompson's high is much higher too (and can easily get those back).
I won't blame you for hoping.
Mitt has outspent all candidates by far. Guess who's not doing that well based on the data? Romney, of course.
Lacking the name recognition of Giuliani and Thompson - and all the media hype - Romney's doing quite well. And he's kicking butt in the early states, a strategy which may be his ticket for a rocket ride to the top. Wait and see.
Fred will be the man........He talks commonsense on the isses and doesn’t constantly flip and flop like rudi or mitten.
As soon as we have a national election, national polls will have relevance.
You're right. National polls are mostly just informational entertainment. State-by-state polls are more important, especially the early states which tend to affect the rest of the election.
So, let's look at some of the early states, shall we?
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