Well, anything’s possible but, I doubt it. My impression of Giuliani’s support is that it is soft. I have seen polling that says otherwise but I doubt that very much. Giuliani’s lead, to this point, is primarily due to his name recognition and the leadership he showed on 9/11. Plus the fact that in the debates, he’s been feisty and likable. That said, as has been seen in the early primary states, as people get to know Mitt Romney, they tend to support him. Romney’s numbers have been rising slowly but surely while Mr. Giuliani’s have been static for the most part. We’ll see. But I do think that Romney is well positioned to jump past Mr. Giuliani if he wins in NH and IA.
I think that's true nationwide, but certainly not in Florida. His support there is pretty strong, and it's there because there are a lot of ex-New Yorkers living in Florida who appreciate the job he did as mayor. These people are conservative on fiscal and law-and-order type issues, but don't care so much about the moral issues, so they don't really care about his stance on abortion, gay rights, his divorces, and the like.