Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Dollar dives as US slump spreads
The Telegraph ^ | 10/19/07 | Ambrose Evans-Pritchard and Joe Moulds

Posted on 10/18/2007 6:07:42 PM PDT by bruinbirdman

The dollar has plummeted to all-time lows against both the euro and a basket of global currencies amid growing fears of a disorderly rout as the US property slump spreads to the broader economy.

The greenback dived after the US 'Philly' business index dropped 10.9 to 6.8 in October, with a shock fall in new orders and inventory, raising the chances of further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this month.


The dollar has reached all-time lows
against the euro

David Page of Investec Securities also noted that sales of toys and games were high due to fears that stocks would not meet Christmas demand following Mattel's toy recalls. Shoppers seem to have shrugged off any impact of the recent market turmoil, prompting economists to speculate that the Bank of England may wait until next year to cut interest rates.

Other data lent support to this view. Bank of England figures showed that growth in the country's broad money supply, which can fuel inflation, cooled in September but stayed high at 12.8pc.

Growth in total lending by banks and building societies, known as M4 lending, appeared entirely unaffected by the credit crisis, rising from 12.3pc to 13.1pc. Vicky Redwood of Capital Economics said: "With inflationary pressures still strong and retail sales figures supporting evidence that the economy grew more strongly in the third quarter than the Monetary Policy Committee expected, interest rates look likely to stay on hold until next year."

The housing market, however, showed signs of cooling. Data from the Council of Mortgage Lenders revealed a stark 12pc decline in mortgage lending over the month, around twice the average fall in August.

Separately, the ONS released data giving a gloomy picture of the state of the public finances, in a fresh blow for new Chancellor Alistair Darling.

Public sector net borrowing, the Government's preferred measure of the public finances, rose to £7.4bn last month, the highest September borrowing on record and above expectations of £6bn.

Howard Archer of Global Insight said: "With slowing growth, a softening housing market and substantially lower City bonuses all likely to weigh down on tax revenues, the prospects for the public finances look worrying."


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS:
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 121-140141-160161-180 ... 221 next last
To: BfloGuy
If this is what happens when "you" run colossal trade deficits, then I'm all for them.

Amen! (from the balcony, of course)

141 posted on 10/19/2007 5:14:47 AM PDT by Thermalseeker (Thinking of voting Democrat? Wake up and smell the Socialism!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: Professional
Where do they now make those goods?

Japan runs a merchandise trade surplus with China.

142 posted on 10/19/2007 6:53:30 AM PDT by Last Dakotan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 42 | View Replies]

To: dennisw
Looks like its Tapas for dinner! Even though they too can "add up" if you order, say, 10 raciones plus a bottle of sherry, they are still cheaper than a full dinner at a restaurant in Madrid.

I figure I'll be counting on an exhange rate of $1.47 to the Euro, with 3% on top of each purchase going to my bank.

143 posted on 10/19/2007 7:09:50 AM PDT by Clemenza (Rudy Giuliani, like Pesto and Seattle, belongs in the scrap heap of '90s Culture)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 88 | View Replies]

To: bvw

Take Barrick Gold sym: ABX. They will employ hedging strategies. Also, like any company they are subject to costs for labor, machinery, etc.


144 posted on 10/19/2007 7:16:00 AM PDT by HockeyPop
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 140 | View Replies]

To: Professional
I may as well just give in.

We told you that Y2K was going to be a bitch.

145 posted on 10/19/2007 7:18:37 AM PDT by harrowup (Gore will end the Hillbilly-Backpack sideshow by announcing in November 2007)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Professional
"Yes, I can tell" ...I've been humbled by the market. I've blown out two trading accounts. What I've learned over the years is that whatever made us successful in our chosen occupations becomes a handicap when trading the markets. "I don't want the cheese, I just want to get out of trap"-- Spanish proverb
146 posted on 10/19/2007 7:24:06 AM PDT by HockeyPop
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 134 | View Replies]

To: HockeyPop

abx is very interesting. i don’t buy directly but via mutual f ..... so far

abx is very sexy.... old man bush has been involved with them ... they are connected players ... IMHO

fun= gdx (gold mine ETF)
gld= ETF that just buys bullion
google it and follow in MSN money and set up a quote list

Get an MSN mail account instead of hot mail account
https://accountservices.passport.net/reg.srf?ns=msn.com&sl=1&lc=1033


147 posted on 10/19/2007 8:01:53 AM PDT by dennisw (France needs a new kind of immigrant — one who is "selected, not endured" - Nicholas Sarkozy)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 144 | View Replies]

To: Clemenza

Do you use Globetrotter luggage — by Samsonite


148 posted on 10/19/2007 8:06:41 AM PDT by dennisw (France needs a new kind of immigrant — one who is "selected, not endured" - Nicholas Sarkozy)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 143 | View Replies]

To: bruinbirdman

Free traders told me not to worry. A worthless dollar is awesome for some reason or another.


149 posted on 10/19/2007 8:12:59 AM PDT by mysterio
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: bvw
Can you explain two things? (1) A bit of a primer in chart talk, such as cup-and-handle, doji, etc. (2) Maybe you’d know why gold mining stocks are not running up nearly as much as gold itself?

Gold mine stocks do not move lock step with gold these days. 
Same was true in the 1980s when gold was a hot item
When gold is hot mining stocks even hotter. Their swing is greater than the gold price

Gold mine stocks are more "speculative" that gold most of the time. More volatile

DOWNSIDE also true these days. Mines will dip more than gold when gold dips. Percentage wise of course

150 posted on 10/19/2007 8:13:35 AM PDT by dennisw (France needs a new kind of immigrant — one who is "selected, not endured" - Nicholas Sarkozy)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 140 | View Replies]

To: mysterio
Free traders told me not to worry. A worthless dollar is awesome for some reason or another.

F'ing retards same as their guru Walter Williams
This defies common sense

REAL SCAM is lots of free trader types who say trade deficits don't matter place side bets (they hedge) with gold and oil, foreign currency and foreign stock market ETF. These lying SOBs hedge against the downside of policies they advocate

151 posted on 10/19/2007 8:18:16 AM PDT by dennisw (France needs a new kind of immigrant — one who is "selected, not endured" - Nicholas Sarkozy)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 149 | View Replies]

To: dennisw

Interesting.


152 posted on 10/19/2007 8:19:41 AM PDT by mysterio
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 151 | View Replies]

To: montag813

Canada and Brazil
Brazil ETF = ewz

http://www.google.com/search?sourceid=navclient&ie=UTF-8&rlz=1T4GGIH_enUS242US242&q=ewz


153 posted on 10/19/2007 8:20:22 AM PDT by dennisw (France needs a new kind of immigrant — one who is "selected, not endured" - Nicholas Sarkozy)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 131 | View Replies]

To: mysterio

true

Have you ever heard GW say anything about our unsustainable trade deficit? His dad was a super “free trader” too. Daddy Bush placed heavy bets on Barrick gold (abx) and dittos for Mulroney the (former) Canadian prime minister

http://www.google.com/search?num=100&hl=en&rlz=1T4GGIH_enUS242US242&q=barrick+mulroney+%22george+bush%22


154 posted on 10/19/2007 8:24:54 AM PDT by dennisw (France needs a new kind of immigrant — one who is "selected, not endured" - Nicholas Sarkozy)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 152 | View Replies]

To: dennisw

kitco.com you can buy bullion at any given moments price. They’ll hang on to it for you, trade it for you or just send it to you. One may always set up their own household smelter ;-}

I’m very familiar with the ETFs having traded them with frequency. They fit in well with my trading style which isn’t buy and hold. Yetsrday I bought QID, held it overnight and sold 1/2 just minutes ago. Buy and hold went out in the nineties!


155 posted on 10/19/2007 8:29:13 AM PDT by HockeyPop
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 147 | View Replies]

To: dennisw
Have you ever heard GW say anything about our unsustainable trade deficit?

No, but I have a trade deficit with my grocery store, so that makes it ok for America to have lots of large trade deficits. At least that's what I heard.
156 posted on 10/19/2007 8:30:12 AM PDT by mysterio
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 154 | View Replies]

To: HockeyPop

He shoots he scores. Well done! We should talk sometime. In FL aren’t you?


157 posted on 10/19/2007 8:58:42 AM PDT by dennisw (France needs a new kind of immigrant — one who is "selected, not endured" - Nicholas Sarkozy)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 155 | View Replies]

To: dennisw
Brazil ETF = ewz

Agree. Brazil is a superstar and is only in the midstages.

158 posted on 10/19/2007 10:54:23 AM PDT by montag813
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 153 | View Replies]

To: dennisw

What is the byproduct of gold. Is it earnings, dividends, interest? No?

Well, then for the same reason as buying gold, you might as well by used bricks, gravel, copper, cords of wood, rubber bands, or whatever.

The only allure of gold, is the mystique behind it. Like any commodity, it only appreciates via inflation, supply, demand, or currency loss of the nation which you live in.

With a rental property you get income, stocks you get ownership and dividends, bonds you get interest. But with gold you just get an object...

Granted, you could buy a goldmining company, that makes its business in selling objects, no different than buying a gravel company.


159 posted on 10/19/2007 7:58:58 PM PDT by Professional
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 147 | View Replies]

To: Professional

Gold mining stocks are down today. They went down along with the DJA

US gold price finished same as it finished yesterday


160 posted on 10/19/2007 8:05:47 PM PDT by dennisw (France needs a new kind of immigrant — one who is "selected, not endured" - Nicholas Sarkozy)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 159 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 121-140141-160161-180 ... 221 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson