Recent polling from last week shows Rudy losing in New York to both Hillary and Obama by 20+ points.
Also, polling from Massachusetts shows Romney losing to both Hillary and Obama by 20+ points.
So much for blue turning red - that’s a RINO pipe dream.
Also, polling from Massachusetts shows Romney losing to both Hillary and Obama by 20+ points.
No one - not even Rudy - expects that he can win either New York or Massachusetts. Those states will never vote for a Republican presidential candidate again. They are simply "too far gone", tipped over to the left forever. Conservatism has no future in such places, and conservatives who even dream of changing that are wasting their time, and their dreams.
But - unlike any of the other candidates - I think Rudy has a shot at taking New Jersey, and he has the best chance of keeping Ohio and Florida in our column.
The latter two are the KEY states in '08. We CANNOT win without them. And the 'rats cannot win without all of their blue states. Our best shot is to pick a candidate who can turn blue to the color purple in a few key states.
The "solid red" states are NOT going to vote for Hillary, even if the die-hard Rudy-haters sit on their hands. There are enough "party-commited" Republicans in those states to hold them comfortably.
This race will be won by courting the "waving wheat" voters: those who are normally so uncommitted and unconnected that they make their voting choice based on the way the prevailing political winds seem to be blowing. Rudy will appeal to them _precisely_ because he is not a hard-liner on social issues, but still strong on defense and the struggle with Islam.
Let's see what things look like after the dust clears after the first super-primary, which is heavily weighted towards the larger "purplish" states.
Having said that, I am commited to supporting the Republican candidate in '08.
- John