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New Hampshire Primary: Romney 25% Giuliani 22% (Fred: 19%!)
Rasmussen ^ | 09/18/2007

Posted on 09/18/2007 6:24:39 AM PDT by Brices Crossroads

Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani has pulled to within three points of former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney in the New Hampshire Presidential Primary. A month ago, Romney had a twelve-point edge.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows that Romney is the top choice for 25% of Likely Primary Voters while Giuliani is preferred by 22%. Nineteen percent (19%) prefer the newest entrant in the race, former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson while 12% favor Arizona Senator John McCain. Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee is at 4% in the poll while four other candidates split 5% of the national vote. Thirteen percent (13%) of voters are not sure how they will vote.

Thirty-nine percent (39%) of New Hampshire’s Republican Primary voters say that Thompson should not have skipped a debate in New Hampshire to announce his candidacy on the Tonight Show. Twenty-five percent (25%) say it was a good decision while 35% are not sure.

However, 77% say that Thompson’s position on the issues will matter more to New Hampshire voters than his decision to skip the debate.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New Hampshire
KEYWORDS: fredthompson; guiliani; romney; thompson
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Fred Thompson's bounce has extended to New Hampshire, where he is now within striking distance of both Romney and Guiliani!! Guess the pundites were right after all. It is too late for Fred. He only has 4 months to make up 6 points. Impossible. LOL
1 posted on 09/18/2007 6:24:40 AM PDT by Brices Crossroads
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To: perfect_rovian_storm; Sturm Ruger; Politicalmom; Reagan Man; Beelzebubba; bill1952; Clara Lou

ping!


2 posted on 09/18/2007 6:26:31 AM PDT by Brices Crossroads
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To: Brices Crossroads

In the left of liberal NE, Fred is within striking distance of two NE left of center pubs who both held high office there?

Without even campaigning there? All right!


3 posted on 09/18/2007 6:29:48 AM PDT by bill1952 ("All that we do is done with an eye towards something else.")
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To: Brices Crossroads

Mitt has invested so much time and resources into Iowa and NH that he must win both places.


4 posted on 09/18/2007 6:29:49 AM PDT by mainepatsfan
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To: Brices Crossroads

And what’s even funnier is when we consider this: How much money has Fred spend in NH to date? Not very much, would be my guess. How much has Romney spent? A ton. And Fred’s within 6 points already. Gotta love it.


5 posted on 09/18/2007 6:32:47 AM PDT by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus (Want authentic 1st century Christianity? Visit a local, New Testament Independent Baptist church!)
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To: mainepatsfan

If Romney wins by a really close margin like this, it would be considered a loss. That said, if his and Guiliani’s support is so soft that Thompson’s mere entry into the race can covert it to a virtual dead heat between the three of them, then it bodes very ill for Romney(and Rudy) in January, when the real voting starts.


6 posted on 09/18/2007 6:34:57 AM PDT by Brices Crossroads
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To: Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus

Has Fred spent anything anywhere?
Do you know the actual date of the primary?
I think I read that Mitt has spent millions, it appears there is not much return on his investments so far.


7 posted on 09/18/2007 6:37:18 AM PDT by svcw (There is no plan B.)
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To: Brices Crossroads

It’s a horse race and all that matters is who’s ahead at the end.


8 posted on 09/18/2007 6:37:42 AM PDT by mainepatsfan
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To: Brices Crossroads
He only has 4 months to make up 6 points. Impossible. LOL

Since this represents a seven point drop for Romney and an eight point gain for Thompson... I'd say four months is plenty of time.

9 posted on 09/18/2007 6:37:46 AM PDT by IMRight
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To: Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus

Iowa is significantly more conservative than NH. Expect a major change there as well, possibly a lead change.


10 posted on 09/18/2007 6:39:01 AM PDT by traderrob6
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To: IMRight

That was my point. At the rate Fred is going, he won’t need 4 months and he may not even need 4 weeks.


11 posted on 09/18/2007 6:40:21 AM PDT by Brices Crossroads
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To: Brices Crossroads

But... but... but... but... but... but...

LLS


12 posted on 09/18/2007 6:41:26 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (Support America, Kill terrorists, Destroy dims!)
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To: Brices Crossroads

Ron Paul supporters will be here soon to tell us how the phone poll was rigged.

Now going to look at the thread, to see if they’ve already been here.


13 posted on 09/18/2007 6:42:40 AM PDT by FreedomPoster (Guns themselves are fairly robust; their chief enemies are rust and politicians) (NRA)
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To: mainepatsfan

True, it is a horse race, but neither Romney nor Rudy has shown any ability to come from behind. If Fred gets solid leads both nationally and in the early states (which he is rapidly achieving), he is going to be very hard to catch, particularly for Rudy and Romney, whose support is much less committed than Fred’s.


14 posted on 09/18/2007 6:44:11 AM PDT by Brices Crossroads
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To: IMRight; Brices Crossroads

IMRight, I suggest you check your sarcasm detector, I think it may be malfunctioning. Often, this early in the morning, that occurs because of insufficient caffeine input.


15 posted on 09/18/2007 6:44:47 AM PDT by FreedomPoster (Guns themselves are fairly robust; their chief enemies are rust and politicians) (NRA)
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To: Brices Crossroads

“””If Romney wins by a really close margin like this, it would be considered a loss. That said, if his and Guiliani’s support is so soft that Thompson’s mere entry into the race can covert it to a virtual dead heat between the three of them, then it bodes very ill for Romney(and Rudy) in January, when the real voting starts.”””


Conservatives now have a candidate, that is wonderful news.


16 posted on 09/18/2007 6:46:32 AM PDT by ansel12 (Romney longed to serve in Vietnam, ask me for the quote.)
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To: FreedomPoster; Brices Crossroads

“IMRight, I suggest you check your sarcasm detector”

Lol... I was agreeing with Brices.


17 posted on 09/18/2007 6:48:31 AM PDT by IMRight
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To: Brices Crossroads

You obviously know nothing about the 89 or 93 Mayoral races in New York City.


18 posted on 09/18/2007 6:49:36 AM PDT by republicanwizard
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To: Brices Crossroads
As always, ignore the absolute numbers and play "spot the trend" instead.

Previous Rasmussen New Hampshire: Romney 32, Guiliani 20, Thompson 11, McCain 11, Huckabee 3

New Rasmussen New Hampshire: Romney 25, Guiliani 22, Thompson 19, McCain 12, Huckabee 4

Net Change: Romney -7, Guiliani +2, Thompson +8, McCain +1, Huckabee +1

Net Spread Change: Romney/Guiliani -9, Romney/Thompson -15, Romney/McCain -8, Guiliani/Thompson -6, Guiliani/McCain +1, Thompson/McCain +7

19 posted on 09/18/2007 6:50:15 AM PDT by kevkrom (The religion of global warming: "There is no goddess but Gaia and Al Gore is her profit.")
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To: Brices Crossroads
That was my point. At the rate Fred is going, he won’t need 4 months and he may not even need 4 weeks.

Oh... I don't know about that. We could expect a bounce when he jumped into the race... it's just as reasonable to expect much of that to fade over the next couple weeks (and to see the MSM declare him a flash in the pan).

I expect it to take some time before he's legitimately the frontrunner... and I'm not sure he wins NH anyway.

20 posted on 09/18/2007 6:50:41 AM PDT by IMRight
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