Posted on 09/01/2007 6:57:00 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Tropical Storm Felix has formed near the South American
A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the northern coast of Venezuela from Cumana to Pedernales including the island of Margarita.
Public Advisories Updated every three hours.
Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours
Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 5 day forecast tracks
Buoy Data East Caribbean
Buoy Data West Caribbean
Satellite Images
Additional Resources:
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Cayman One Radio Nice music mix, and hourly news
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Hey, I’ll have you know I *single-handedly* turned Rita away from the largest population center she might have hit!
I think you had a “little” help. She was aimed at us for a while. :)
Felix is trending south...may not hit Belize...read the latest advisory and discussion.
After you brought it up I asked the question in other forums, and so far the consensus is it will be the first in recorded history.
LOL, it was simply my *presence* that turned it away from Houston. None of the Houston ‘canes have ever hit when I lived here, lo these many times and many years.
Now, TS’s are a different story.
Thanks, I’ll look again - it looked dead-on to me when I checked in here.
I hate to hear that. I don’t want to get hit by a hurricane, but those folks in that part of the world don’t stand a chance. I’ll pray for them.
susie
They truly don’t. It’s pathetic how absolutely poor most of the folks are in those countries. The shacks they live in...unbelievale. James Robison has gone in is building over 300 homes and drilling wells for these people.
Earlier I decided to open my heart and mind up to the GFDL (NHC's and Lyons' favorite model) but so far it just ain't panning out.
At least, we’ve got tomorrow off and we can watch Felix.
The problem I had with the GFDL was that it went from extreme east to west. Yeah, it caught up with Dean and narrowed in but most of the other models were already there. It just seemed all over the board to me.
new RECON 132 kt SE quad, 931.5 mb pressure.
(NE QUAD will have the max winds....132 kts at flight level is about 135-140 surface)
Someone at WU just pointed out that FSU came around! It did.
(FSU is like the Debka of FR).
“only” 147kt FLL..about 150-155 MPH at the surface
so hold a sec
Even so, that’s 174MPH ... which surface is 90%, so 157mph NWquad, give back 20% for the dirty side, gives us 188mph NEquad surface.
937 MB
URNT12 KNHC 030538
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 03/05:11:00Z
B. 13 deg 58 min N
074 deg 44 min W
C. 700 mb 2568 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg 000 nm
F. 235 deg 132 kt
G. 127 deg 008 nm
H. 937 mb
I. 7 C/ 3041 m
J. 24 C/ 3076 m
K. 7 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C10
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.03 / 1 nm
P. AF305 1006A FELIX OB 07
MAX FL WIND 147KT NW QUAD 05:17:50Z
STADIUM EFFECT
No, no, no: 147kts surface x 1.15 to get MPH = 169mph, but that’s in the NW quad so if we add 10% for NEquad, we get 185mph surface.
no you get 185 FL....and 165 or so surface :)
At any rate, the eye is now ~12 miles across.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.
