Posted on 09/01/2007 6:57:00 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Tropical Storm Felix has formed near the South American
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Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
You sure are confident this cat being five days out from the bay of campeche.
We were up north all summer....just got back.
I know what you are saying though and it’s wise advice.
Where I came from the folks always got prepared for blizzards. Pantrys and freezers were well stocked and if a winter storm was forecast my mom filled up water containers and also filled the bathtub with water for washing as we could be without water and access to anybody else for several days if a whopper blew in and the roads were blocked.
have a good evening. ;)
What!? You wan the 11p HH run but fold at 8:45? :)
I don’t know. Those P-3’s are pretty stinkin’ sturdy, albeit the C-130 is definitely more robust without a doubt.
I’ve been in some pretty rough air, but never had the overhead compartments pop open and stuff go flying around. That groaning sound is rather unerving though. I flew once where the wingtips of the airliner was moving at least 8’. That was alarming. When the stewardess asked me what I was looking at, she said, oh that’s just the bird flapping its wings while we’re flying. If you notice it stops doing that, or just plain dissappears, let me know and I’ll inform the pilots of a potential problem.
A little while later the co-pilot came walking back and looking out the window as he walked down to the ailse. He stopped at my seat (wing/window), and peered out the window. After a few seconds he smiled, straightened up and said to me that we’re experencing some moderate turbulance. He said that we’re fine, but if it gets twice that bad, to let him know about it. He said even so we’d still be good to go, he’d probably put in for the aircraft to be serviced and checked for metal fatigue.
A guy I worked with was an ELINT officer on a P3 Orion for the USN. He mustered out with spinal compression disability. I asked him if it was a tough landing and he said no, it was in flight inclement weather that did him in. FYI: all those guys sit at their stations with 4 point racing type harnesses strapping them into the seat.
I’ll bump that prediction! Not that I want to wish bad storms onto anybody else, of course..
:^)
They may not have planned on this storm...
[With the Yucatan/Belize being the first...]
I hope you're right...
I am.
I was raised on the coast and have/had family on the whole Gulf coast since the early to mid 1800s. It’s genetic now. :)
the models are trending south
I'm no scientist but I really don't see any other course. It's not like those open waters in the Gulf where hurricanes drift and stammer. This one seems to be on a beeline and its course probably won't change until it hits the Yucutan because it has nothing else to steer it. When it makes landfall, it may bump and spin northward but if it stays far enough south, it will have to plow through too much land to have a lot of strength when it gets here.
I worry for the folks down there but I'm not concerned about Texas and the U.S.
Hope so cause on the newest loop it looks like it started to take a little jog to the north.
My concern is how high up in Mexico. We can’t take a lot of water in the South right now.
Someone put a joker in the deck. TS Henriette is supposed to be heading into Arizona at the time H. Felix enters the Gulf.
This may allow a westward course, but it is possible TS Henriette (as a low pressure system) may block a Northwestward course and force a Northeastward one.
H. Dean had the opposite. An ULL (Upper Level Low)entered the Gulf of Mexico just as H. Dean was crossing the Yucatan... That forced H. Dean Westward -- as the ULL blocked Northern movement...
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