Posted on 09/01/2007 6:57:00 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Tropical Storm Felix has formed near the South American
A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the northern coast of Venezuela from Cumana to Pedernales including the island of Margarita.
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| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Guidance shifted a little N... I keep losing all my Hebert box links, do you know one?
This image shows the two Hebert boxes. If Floridians want an indication of a possible hit they need to keep an eye on any hurricane that passes through these boxes. Nearly every major Hurricane that hit S Florida since 1900 passed through these boxes. When major Hurricanes miss these boxes,they virtually always miss South Florida.
If a major Hurricane moves into these boxes South Florida really needs to watch out. These boxes approx 335 miles x 335 miles includes the Virgin Islands but not Puerto Rico. The pattern has proven accurate for 9 out of 10 storms storms that developed & hit Dade,Broward & Palm Bch Counties. The following is a list showing Hurricanes that passed through these Boxes,starting with Box #1.
Now only if he would make that hard left.
Here comes the pain train.
Here comes the pain train.
000 URNT12 KWBC 012139 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 1/2125Z B. 12 DEG 28 MIN N 65 DEG 23 MIN W C. NA D. NA E. NA F. 043 DEG 57 KT G. 300 DEG 18 NM H. 996 MB I. 13 C/2456 M J. 14 C/2420 M K. 14 C/NA L. POORLY DEFINED M. NA N. 12345/NA O. 1/1 NM P. NOAA2 0506A FELIX OB 05 MAX FL WIND 57 KT NW QUAD 2119Z EYE WALL APPEARS TO BE FORMING SW - SE SIDEMotion over the past 4:18 - 271 degrees at 18.1 mph.
12.5N a tad south of the 12.7 estimate at 5pm
I doubt we’d ever get to Pablo, or even Lorenzo seeing how mild this season is.
Wish I knew what altitude they tried to fly.
Got what they were flying on an update; the 700-mb level.
just found a pressure of 993 and 75kts at flight evel
66kts at the surface
THAT WOULD MAKE THIS A HURRICANE
So I’m 3 hours off. They’ll wait until the 8 pm intermediate to declare it as such seeing we’re an hour out.
Lotsa Felix’s out there. Is that your autograph from him?
fabulous colors in that Felix graphic.
Florida isn’t in the present cone of uncertainty. However, NOVA is showing a documentary of 2004. I got scared all over again. Charlie, Ivan, Jeanne and then I ran upstairs and quit watching.
000 URNT12 KWBC 012319 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 1/2241Z B. 12 DEG 29 MIN N 65 DEG 43 MIN W C. NA D. NA E. NA F. 129 DEG 77 KT G. 050 DEG 14 NM H. 993 MB I. 16 C/2423 M J. 17 C/2450 M K. 14 C/NA L. OPEN NE M. C 30 N. 12345/NA O. 1/2 NM P. NOAA2 0506A FELIX OB 09 MAX FL WIND 77 KT NE QUAD 2238Z
If we're not there, we will be before 11.
Top Cat? I kind of remember a Top Cat.
Say hello to Hurricat Felix. Waiting to see if it’s Intermediate Advisory 5A or a Special Advisory 6 to post it.
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