He figures one year probation, a heavy fine, and return to the NFL in one year ("a lot to think about in the next year"), maybe three. Look for many stories about how common dog fighting and animal cruelty is in the next year, to smoke-up the clarity of public perception of the horror of the acts -- a coordinated campaign to get the asset back into production.
Note no admission of gambling. That would be lifetime.
According to Goodell’s press release after Vick’s admission was published the gambling stuff Vick did admit to is close enough. Had some pretty strong statements about “exposing himself to corrupting influences”. As long as Goodell is in charge Vick isn’t coming back.