All forecast aside, this storm seems like it may have taken a little jog north, about 4 hours ago it looked like it was headed just south of Jamaica. A stright line on it’s present course looks more like a possible direct hit. Remember the forecast model are just computer guesses, mother nature seems like it does what it wants to at times.2 years ago we just knew Houston was gonna get a direct hit from Rita but, it took an unexpected right hook into the TX/LA border.
As I was leaving the Lowes I called my dad, let him know. He like my brother, and myself is ready. He told me that my brother was already getting a few supplies he needed. We are already getting on the same page if we need to move. My family has lived on teh gul coast since 1946, and My dad said it clear then any weather forcaster could, “It looks like it might hit Mexico, but you never know what it will do, it could hit Florida just for the heck of it.” One get in the gulf you need to be ready.
Click on this graphic and put a straight edge on the current path...http://weather.hawaii.edu/satellite/satanim.cgi?chnl=uw4&domain=crb&period=720&incr=30&rr=900&banner=uhmet&satplat=goes12&overlay=off
Of course, if it hits just barely south, that actually is the worst in terms of wind.
However, Jamaica is a bit further north since it is on the east edge of the island that is not quite as far south, so unless it actually hits JUST barely south, Kingston will be spared the worst. IT sure looks to me like it is going more WNW than W and will not miss by much, probably even less than 30 miles to the S.