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Hurricane Dean Live Thread Part II
NOAA/NHC ^ | August 19, 2007 | NOAA/NWS

Posted on 08/19/2007 3:52:51 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Dean is moving west-northwest through the Caribbean Sea. The current NHC forecast track indicates Dean's powerful center core will pass just south of the southwestern peninsula of Haiti, and should skirt Jamaica's southern shoreline. The storm maintained strong Category 4 wind status through the night during an eyewall replacement cycle. However, the minimum pressure supports Category 5, and additional strengthening of winds is likely.

Tourists in Jamaica crowded airports Saturday to leave the island nation. Jamaican Prime Minister Portia Simpson Miller addressed the Jamaican people, asking that everyone put aside their political differences and work together in advance of the imminent storm preceding Jamaica's general election scheduled for August 27. PM Miller announced that the Jamaican power grid and water would likely be shut down early Sunday morning in advance of the storm, and strongly urged citizens to seek shelter.

The United States and Barbados have pledged hurricane relief supplies and support to Jamaica as needed. No word yet from the United Nations...

Public Advisories Updated every three hours.

Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours

Three Day Tracking Map

Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 5 day forecast tracks

Buoy Data East Caribbean

Buoy Data West Caribbean

Storm Model Tracks

Storm Surge graphic

Satellite Images/Radar

Visible Satellite Still Image

IR Image

WV Image

Jamaica Radar

Additional Resources:

StormCarib Island locals post their observations

Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City


TOPICS: Mexico; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: caribbean; dean; hurricane; hurricanedean; jamaica; tropical
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To: American Quilter; All

http://www.jis.gov.jm/PMspeeches/html/20070818T230000-0500_12766_JIS_ADDRESS_TO_THE_NATION_BY_THE_MOST_HON__PORTIA_SIMPSON_MILLER__PRIME_MINISTER_OF_JAMAICA_ON_HURRICANE_DEAN.asp


361 posted on 08/19/2007 12:46:30 PM PDT by TornadoAlley3 ( “An appeaser is one who feeds a crocodile, hoping that it will eat him last.”)
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To: No Blue States

I’m hoping it tracks west awhile before the next wobble,,,


362 posted on 08/19/2007 12:47:08 PM PDT by 1COUNTER-MORTER-68 (THROWING ANOTHER BULLET-RIDDLED TV IN THE PILE OUT BACK~~~~~)
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To: lentulusgracchus

It definately wont be a boring honeymoon.

145 mph sustained, 180 mph gusts.

http://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at200704_sat_1.jpg


363 posted on 08/19/2007 12:47:26 PM PDT by No Blue States
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To: getmeouttaPalmBeachCounty_FL
“Wow 30 ft. waves on the east side!”

Hurricane City had a report of local fisherman getting permission from the government to break into a building to get up high.

Power has been cut off after 10:00 am.

“Power 106 FM” now running PSA’s regarding water contamination precautions.

364 posted on 08/19/2007 12:47:58 PM PDT by Milwaukee_Guy (Don't hit them between the eyes. Hit them right -in- the eyes!)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

do you know where to get a larger pic of that?


365 posted on 08/19/2007 12:50:10 PM PDT by tutstar (Baptist Ping list - freepmail me to get on or off.)
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To: nwctwx

When these canes get this big/strong, don’t they tend to have minds of their own and ignore steering factors?


366 posted on 08/19/2007 12:51:34 PM PDT by Tuxedo (This Species Has Amused Itself To Death)
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To: NautiNurse

catching up...

Just caught on Fox the end of that amazing footage of the rescue in flooding Oklahoma


367 posted on 08/19/2007 12:52:32 PM PDT by RDTF (Republicans believe every day is July 4th, but Democrats believe every day is April 15th. - Reagan)
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To: All
click for loop (current 6 frame IR)

Free Image Hosting at www.ImageShack.us
368 posted on 08/19/2007 12:53:53 PM PDT by nwctwx
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To: 1COUNTER-MORTER-68

That ULL above the Yucatan isn’t moving all that fast - not sure if it will influence Dean or not. Any chance that ULL becomes tropical? They are forecasting T’storms here in SA starting Tuesday which is far too early for Dean.


369 posted on 08/19/2007 12:55:24 PM PDT by Tuxedo (This Species Has Amused Itself To Death)
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To: tutstar

I don’t know ,...it’s likely that Accuweather scaled it down and that NASA might have it somewhere.....I haven’t looked...but it is very interesting to see.....


370 posted on 08/19/2007 12:55:33 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach (No Burkas for my Granddaughters!!!)
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To: nwctwx
Your link matches up well with the Cuban Pilon Radar pictures (Link in message #183). Their Radar loop is running 30-45 minutes behind real time.
371 posted on 08/19/2007 12:56:13 PM PDT by PeteB570 (Guns, what real men want for Christmas)
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To: nwctwx

Great gpraphic, the last couple of frames definately look due west. Good.


372 posted on 08/19/2007 12:57:41 PM PDT by No Blue States
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To: nwctwx

I wonder if those people are blogging live from Cancun again..


373 posted on 08/19/2007 12:57:48 PM PDT by RDTF (Republicans believe every day is July 4th, but Democrats believe every day is April 15th. - Reagan)
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To: PeteB570

the end of the loop is about 30 min old now, so makes sense


374 posted on 08/19/2007 12:59:08 PM PDT by nwctwx
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To: All

“Power 106 FM” Jamaica reporting 180,000+ without power on the east end of Jamaica. Jamaica Public Service Company is weighing a decision to take down the entire power grid.


375 posted on 08/19/2007 12:59:15 PM PDT by Milwaukee_Guy (Don't hit them between the eyes. Hit them right -in- the eyes!)
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To: Tuxedo
Perry doesn't seem to be buying the models. Stadiums/convention centers are being prepped for evac.

W ain't buying them, either.

376 posted on 08/19/2007 12:59:25 PM PDT by txhurl
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To: silentknight
Found this satellite image loop from your link:

Hurricane Visible Loop

Looks like the eye wall is going to hit the island.....

377 posted on 08/19/2007 1:00:03 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach (No Burkas for my Granddaughters!!!)
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To: nwctwx

This isn’t good. Kingston is going to be hit by the strong end of the storm and get almost the full storm surge.


378 posted on 08/19/2007 1:00:48 PM PDT by burzum (None shall see me, though my battlecry may give me away -Minsc)
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To: Milwaukee_Guy

Thank You for the link. Listening. “More than 135 thousand without power.”


379 posted on 08/19/2007 1:00:59 PM PDT by TornadoAlley3 ( “An appeaser is one who feeds a crocodile, hoping that it will eat him last.”)
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To: Hydroshock

Good luck on getting it now. Even the local Family Dollar in La Porte was under siege!


380 posted on 08/19/2007 1:01:30 PM PDT by Disgusted in Texas
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