That ONE model seems bound and determined top get US!........(and from the discussion at the NHC, IT is a most reliable model!)...........
That ONE model seems bound and determined top get US!........(and from the discussion at the NHC, IT is a most reliable model!)...........
I got a lot of funny looks from people when filling all my gas cans this morning.When Rita was getting close 2 years ago gas stations sold out and there was none to buy, no matter how much money you had.Both cars full, also the boat plus 55 in cans, no one and I mean no one, not even the NHC can be for sure where this one is going, all they have is an educated guess.
Holly crap, what an outlier ... What are the chances ...
CLP5 is not really a computer model in the same way that the others on that list are. It is more an aggregation of historical storm tracks. It’s very unlikely Dean could make that sort of movement - there’s a big honkin’ high pressure squatting over the southeast that won’t allow that movement. It’s sort of a baseline for measuring how good a computer model is, because generally the CLP5 is quite poor. I wouldn’t put any weight on it at all.
It’s seems that one of these tracks always heads for Mobile at some point.