[nwctwx]

I think it’s a good idea to keep Erin’s track from the Yucatan to TX in mind. The prevailing summer pattern has tended to send moisture into certain areas around the long term high pressure locations.

It’s so far out right now, minor deviations over the next 12-24hr make a huge difference at day 5. If I had to choose a landfall point right now I’d go within 200 miles either direction of Erin’s, with more error expected on the north side due to the angle of the coast.

What it does while passing the remainder of the obstacles on its course to the GOM is extraordinarily crucial. Whatever this looks like now, it could very well be a small piece of that by the time it threatens the U.S.

[SouthTexas]

Thanks, center the target on me again!

Glad you're here, but I'm done for the night, manana.

[CindyDawg]

Yeah but the darn thing is that since we don’t know we all have to take precautions that it’s coming our way. We can’t wait.