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Locked on 08/19/2007 5:43:08 AM PDT by Lead Moderator, reason:
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Posted on 08/16/2007 4:43:17 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane warnings have been issued for Dominica and St. Lucia as Hurricane Dean races westward into the Caribbean Sea at 24mph. This motion should bring the center of Dean near the Lesser Antilles on Friday. The increased forward speed of the storm has lessened preparation time for Caribbean Islands in its path. Hurricane Dean has favorable conditions to develop into a major hurricane over the next several days.
Public Advisories Updated every three hours.
Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours
Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 5 day forecast tracks
Buoy Data East Caribbean
Buoy Data West Caribbean
Storm Surge graphic
Satellite Images
Additional Resources:
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Between that and the latest wobble back to a more-westerly track, that’s why the NHC doesn’t use “instantaneous” motion in the advisories.
It works.
Thanks!
DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
18/1145 UTC 15.4N 67.9W T6.0/6.0 DEAN — Atlantic Ocean
Latest Dvorak classification
LOL Steve did you see this?
Here’s a message from someone in Playa del Carmen, regarding that topic - look at the 2nd message from the top:
http://www.stormcarib.com/reports/current/mexico.shtml
” ... What is encouraging for us here, is that our Governor, Lic. Felix Arturo Gonzalez Canto was in office for a few short months when Wilma hit. His leadership and the governments actions in the aftermath have been recognized by the United Nations as a model for disaster relief. Here in Playa Del Carmen we had power after 3 days while friends in Florida were without for 3 weeks, and we experienced Wilma as a cat 4(36 hrs) and they as a cat 2 (8 hrs). ...”
That has to be a tough job.
“Here in Playa Del Carmen we had power after 3 days while friends in Florida were without for 3 weeks, and we experienced Wilma as a cat 4(36 hrs) and they as a cat 2 (8 hrs). ...””
Pantload statement, apples and oranges.
Been watching this one, concerned for relatives in Lake Charles. Hope it misses you guys CC. Stay safe and let us know how you are if it hits anywhere near you okay?
Praying for you all.
You posted:
” ... And don’t feel bad. “Somebody else” is hoping it will veer toward YOU! ...”
That’s how I feel every day, living off of my (very meager) oil & gas royalties. The whole world is praying against my having better groceries, let alone any goodies!
Not yet. Now, let me find that buoy’s page so we can estimate when it did break.
I've been talking about doing the same for a couple of years. I figure we can get a good deal on one these days with the price of gasoline, and their lousy mileage.
He’s got 2 out of 3, and depending on perspective, all 3. A Cat 4/5 hasn’t hit Jamaica head-on lately, so it’ll be historic.
What, you don’t think Mr. Dean could dance the “Tampiqueño?”
I’m keeping my eye on this one too. I’ve made my preliminary plans, just waiting to see how things pan out. At least the dingbat is on the ball early this time if we get hit. /rollseyes
Looks to me that it’s still working. Last hourly report 1350 GMT (9:50AM EDT).
42059 is still alive and well. At 8:50 CDT, the wind was out of the south at 39 knots gusting to 49 knots, and the pressure was coming up nicely.
“One block off the beach at Gulf Shores”? Oh, you mean Bay Minette? LOL, just kidding - only cuz I have family down there, too - wouldn’t tease about it, otherwise.
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