Ghouliani isn't close in either state and that's why he is focusing on larger states that have later primaries. And, no Presidential candidate lost Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina and won his party's nomination.
Recent polls have shown Giuliani trailing Romney in Iowa and New Hampshire.
"If they exceed expectations, all the better," said GOP consultant Tony Fabrizio. "If they don't, there is nothing lost, because they told everyone they weren't expecting to win anyway."
Political experts question the wisdom of such a strategy, wondering how a candidate who doesn't win or finish strongly in the early states can challenge someone else's momentum and recover on Feb. 5.
http://www.boston.com/news/nation/articles/2007/07/09/analysis_giulianis_campaign_on_unconventional_path/
Analysis: Giuliani’s campaign on unconventional path
Some think Giuliani’s gamble could pay off. His schedule reflects the big prizes at stake: Florida, which votes just weeks after Iowa and New Hampshire on Jan. 29, has 112 delegates. California, with its 173 delegates, votes with more than a dozen other states, including New York, New Jersey and Illinois, on Feb. 5. Iowa and New Hampshire have 32 delegates each.
“Just because something has never happened before, there’s no reason why it can’t happen now. History is a guide to the future, not a straitjacket,” said GOP consultant Whit Ayres.
The best scenario for such a strategy to succeed is if there are different winners in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina, Fabrizio said.
“The key to Giuliani’s ultimate victory is that there be no one consensus conservative that emerges to challenge him; he needs more conservative candidates to split up the vote as you move to Feb. 5 and beyond,” Fabrizio said.