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It’s a state by state issue, and what sort of values those states enspouse. I think Rudy is a huge gamble on the party’s existance....could he win...maybe...but I’m not sure the GOP wants to lose out on many conservatives whom I know will bail.

There's no way a guy who dressed up in drag and marched in a gay pride parade is ever going to become the GOP nominee. No way, no how. He was a great mayor for NYC, but he's definitely not presidential material. Too liberal to win the GOP nomination, and too big of a mean SOB to (which is exactly what New York needed, BTW) to win the Dems' nomination.

Here's my prediction: Rudy gets his head handed to him in Iowa and New Hampshire. From that point on he'll drop like a rock.

National polls this early mean nothing.

There's no way a guy who dressed up in drag and marched in a gay pride parade is ever going to become the GOP nominee. No way, no how.

So far Rudy has defied all expectations and continued to be the front runnner in what is most likely to be an unusual poltiical year due to the low approvals for Pres Bush and no 'incumbent'. Since Thompson has entered, Giuliani has indeed lost some support, as has McCain. But rudy's numbers appear to eb stabilizing (see poll chart below) I would say Rudy currently has a 50-50 shot at winning the nomination.

Here's my prediction: Rudy gets his head handed to him in Iowa and New Hampshire. From that point on he'll drop like a rock. National polls this early mean nothing.

Right now Rudy is second in Iowa and NH. National pools mean a lot as they directly influence fundraising. If you cant prove you can compete in the national election, you wont receive donations. Period. If Giuliani only wins some of the delegates in NH and IA, he will clean up in FL, SC, NJ, and CA. IA and NH are must wins for Romney and if he loses in those states its over for him.

“There’s no way a guy who dressed up in drag and marched in a gay pride parade is ever going to become the GOP nominee. No way, no how. He was a great mayor for NYC, but he’s definitely not presidential material. Too liberal to win the GOP nomination, and too big of a mean SOB to (which is exactly what New York needed, BTW) to win the Dems’ nomination.”

It worries me that he continues to lead in the polls.

Anyone but Rudy/McCain.

I agree...I don’t think the GOP wants to go that far to the left [with Rudy]. We’re at a pivotal point, because of the war, and because of the choices in judges we can acquire.

Now, not that Reagan hasn’t made a mistake on that (as well as other Republican presidents), but we’re well on our way to a more conservative country....as long as we stay conservative. I just can’t vote Rudy just because of one platform. He might be able to defend us and do the right think on WOT and Iraq, but without morals a country will soon degrade.

I would have a very bad day if it was Rudy vs Hillary...well, you know. But I do believe and hope you’re right.