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To: Nonstatist
With the new "Super-Primaries" coming hot on the tail of Iowa and New Hampshire, I would tend to discount wins in both those states as much sound and fury, signifying nothing.

Indeed, 2008 may be the last election cycle in which much weight and attention is given to either of them.

Neither state is politcally/demographically what it once was, particularly New Hampshire, which will be a "full blue" state in 20-25 more years. Not quite as bad as Vermont, of course, but probably more resembling Maine just to the northeast. Voter pollution from the Gay state!

- John

20 posted on 07/05/2007 4:12:58 PM PDT by Fishrrman
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To: Fishrrman

Don’t rain on their parade.


25 posted on 07/05/2007 4:19:46 PM PDT by mgstarr (KZ-6090 Smith W.)
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To: Fishrrman

New Hampshire will probably move their primary to December. With the inevitable Romney win there he will have weeks press coverage portraying him as the winner and the others as losers. Then we will have Iowa where he also is ahead. Another win likely and another few weeks of Romney = winner, others = losers. By the time we get to Super-Tuesday this thing will be over.


26 posted on 07/05/2007 4:21:28 PM PDT by DieselHoplite
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To: Fishrrman
Neither state is politcally/demographically what it once was

Sure, but Romney is running 4th nationally, and if he doesent win both those states he's so over. There's a chance those wins will kick him up nationally, but if he loses he gets to go home .

IMO, by March it'll be Thompson vs Guliani. Unless I'm wrong, of course.

35 posted on 07/05/2007 6:56:07 PM PDT by Nonstatist
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