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If he loses Iowa he’s toast.
Like I've been saying....
I guess that McRino’s meteoric plunge can, from some pointa of view, make Romney look like he is “pulling ahead”...but pulling ahead of whom, since Fred isn’t really in the race....yet.
Read it and weep:
Isn’t Romney running more ads than anyone up there? Also he’s the former MA Gov. Means nothing. Frankly, NH should be dropped or ignored. Who gives a crap what they think anyway, or in Iowa? Sick of those puny states lording it over the rest of us for the past 50 years.
Let Precious win New Hampshire. Fred will win everything else that’s actually important. ;-)
I can’t account for it logically, but I have a weird feeling that this guy is going to win the Presidency in 2008 with Thompson as his VP.
Which Mitt is doing well? The conservative sounding Mitt or the liberal one?
How can you trust what he says? He obviously will say anything to win. He’s like Bill Clinton minus the sex scandals.
(Will start paying attention many months from now...)
I like Thompson personally, but for our next President, I prefer someone with Executive experience. I’d prefer a Governor over a Senator.
Romney is going to win Iowa and New Hampshire. I think those are locks. He’s also doing very well in Michigan and Nevada which are early and important.
He will probably need to improve his rank in South Carolina (2nd or 3rd would be acceptable). He also has to have a decent showing in California. I don’t believe he is winning here right now, but I think it’s doable. I’ve already seen some of his ads (and I haven’t seen anyone elses yet on tv).
I really think he is the best positioned. Rudy has the best name recognition, but I think most conservatives if given the choice between Rudy or Mitt are going to go for Mitt and I think Thompson is a great person to augment another campaign but not necessarily to lead it. Fred will have the VP job if he doesn’t win himself for the asking, I’m sure of that.
Add in to all of that for Romney that the money raising has been solid, he has vast personal wealth to supplement, he has good speaking skills (2nd only to Rudy), and looks wise he absolutely outshines the rest and I think he’s going to win when it’s all said and done.
Florida will award three delegates to the winner in each of its twenty-something Congressional districts. Florida will then award another group of delegates, again about twenty-something if I remember correctly, to the overall winner of the state. If I'm getting the numbers right, the winner of Florida may pick up just a few more delegates than the candidate who finishes second. Mr. Thompson has the best chance of winning large numbers of districts plus the overall state to make Florida a huge win. That win would make him hard to beat. However, a win for Mr. Romney after winning two caucuses and a primary will look very good. The "winner-take-all" rules in the New York primary will keep Rudy Giuliani in the race until February 5, but a loss in Florida would hurt him badly.
Bill