Compare 1989 vs 2004 when the earliest & latest numbers are available.
In 1989 Wind, Solar and Geothermal combined made up 0.61% of our power generation
15 years later, with all the new plants and farms, Gazillion of dollars and tax breaks for subsidizes and research, in 2004 those numbers only increased to 0.79% of our power generation. And almost all of that "BIG" gain was made by wind.
We've been hearing about how cheaper and more efficient solar panels are just around the corner for 50 years now. And with out fail, solar (and these other alternative energies) has overpromised and underdelivered every single time.
Solar will never be viable, no matter what breakthrough comes down the pike you just can't get around those pesky Laws of Thermodynamics
No matter how you slice it, it's going to come down to two things: find a way to use coal in an environmentally acceptable manner, or go with nuclear, or do both. With coal you can develop synfuels and gasification and perhaps address some of the transport sector needs. Nuclear can do it if we go with electric substitution for ground transport and some kind of energy carrier, hydrogen, boron, whatever. Nuclear will have to go with commercial reprocessing and actinide recycle to address the fuel supply and waste storage issues. Maybe something like the closed fuel cycle IFR concept can also make a difference.