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Defeated (French) Socialists search for scapegoats
The Financial Times (UK) ^ | May 6, 2007 | Martin Arnold

Posted on 05/06/2007 7:12:13 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Let the finger-pointing begin. Ségolène Royal’s defeat on Sunday night left the French Socialist party in disarray and searching for someone to blame. There is hardly a shortage of scapegoats.

It is the party’s third consecutive presidential defeat. The Socialists now face the question of whether they can ever regain power without ditching their anti-capitalist rhetoric, as the mainstream left has done across almost all of Europe.

Ms Royal can argue that she did better than Lionel Jospin, who in 2002 led the Socialists to a humiliating third place behind Jacques Chirac and far-right leader Jean-Marie Le Pen. But France’s main opposition party still faces a wrenching crisis.

”The left is not credible on so many issues, from the 35-hour working week to immigration and law and order,” says Dominique Reynié, professor at Sciences Po university.

“It is the fault of the left collectively. Ever since their [parliamentary election] defeat in 1983 they have never questioned their fundamental ideology, only thinking they needed to change tactics,” he says.

In many ways, Ms Royal, the Senegal-born daughter of an army colonel, seemed to be the tactical masterstroke that could restore the Socialist party to winning ways.

Young and moderate voters were drawn by her Blairist ideas and taste for smashing party taboos on the 35-hour week and young offenders. By embracing the internet to invent a new participative style of campaigning, the glamorous 53-year-old seemed to be breaking the political mould, becoming the first woman with a shot at the Elysée palace.

But Ms Royal failed to capitalise on the buzz around her euphoric victory in November’s Socialist primary, when she was seen as the “gazelle” beating more experienced “elephants” for the presidential nomination. The fierce primary battle, however, left the “elephants” feeling jealous and reluctant to rally behind her.

In the months that followed she lost momentum, committing several gaffes, notably on foreign and economic policy, which sowed the seeds of doubt about her “presidential stature”.

Her campaign was shambolic. There were many last-minute agenda changes and she often arrived late. Socialist staff moaned about her personalised leadership style. An opinion poll found that 63 per cent of voters thought her campaign was poor.

She never seemed able to escape from her party’s rigid ideological barriers. Every time she tried, for instance by suggesting military camps for young offenders, it provoked a volley of criticism from the party apparat.

Moderates attracted to her early campaign were disappointed by her manifesto, filled with generous spending pledges and little indication of how to fund them.

Party disunity exploded into public view when Eric Besson, her economic adviser, quit saying she was “dangerous for France” and joined the Sarkozy campaign.

François Bayrou, the centrist who came third in the first round, cited her economic policies as his reason for not endorsing Ms Royal. “Her manifesto, multiplying the interventions of the state, perpetuating the illusion that the state must take care of everything… runs in the opposite direction to the orientation needed,” he said.

The awkward role of François Hollande, her party leader and father of her four children, seemed to backfire. He claimed she would raise taxes – forcing her to deny it – and she suspended a spokesman for saying Mr Hollande was “her only flaw”.

Ms Royal has always kept her distance from her party. She will remain head of the Poitou-Charentes region and many expect her to retreat to her rural base in western France to wait for the party battles to calm as she mulls a 2012 presidential bid.

Commentators predict the party could now be torn in two, along the lines of the split in the 2005 European referendum, when a large minority rebelled against the official party line and campaigned for a No vote.

”Her defeat will be extremely damaging for the left. Huge divisions will start to emerge at 8pm on Sunday,” says Eric Dupin, author of A Droite Toute, a book on the rightward shift of French voters.

Jean-Marie Colombani, director of Le Monde newspaper, says: “Globalisation is still considered a threat and diabolised as the root of all evil. The left must get out of the ideological impasse in which it has been trapped for too long.”


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: france; georgebush; nicolassarkozy; paris; perdant; segoleneroyal; sgolneroyal; socialists
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Sound familiar? Shades of 2000. Hopefully Hillary, Obama, Edwards and their socialist party will meet the same fate.
1 posted on 05/06/2007 7:12:14 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: Cincinna

And so it begins - the blame game (just as we predicted).


2 posted on 05/06/2007 7:14:01 PM PDT by Army Air Corps (Four fried chickens and a coke)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Royal probably would have finished 3rd again if Le Pen hadn’t urged supporters to boycott the election.


3 posted on 05/06/2007 7:15:10 PM PDT by cripplecreek (Greed is NOT a conservative ideal.)
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To: cripplecreek

I rather enjoyed the news photos of the weeping socialists with dejected expressions on their faces.


4 posted on 05/06/2007 7:16:56 PM PDT by Army Air Corps (Four fried chickens and a coke)
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To: Army Air Corps

My question is where will the hollywood wacko’s want to move to now?


5 posted on 05/06/2007 7:18:59 PM PDT by anotherdubya
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Karl Rove again... Sacre Bleue!


6 posted on 05/06/2007 7:21:16 PM PDT by nctexan
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

It was Maureen Dowd’s column that did in Ms Royale.

With cheese.

Get it? “Royale with cheese?”

If I was holding a chrome .45 automatic would it be any funnier?


7 posted on 05/06/2007 7:21:44 PM PDT by MadJack ("Patience is bitter, but its fruit is sweet." (Afghan proverb))
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To: anotherdubya

I’ll pay for them to fly to Cuba, Vezuela, or the DPRK; however, I shall only pay for a one-way ticket. Oh, and they’ll have to fly coach.


8 posted on 05/06/2007 7:22:00 PM PDT by Army Air Corps (Four fried chickens and a coke)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
What? They’re not going to demand a recount and look at all the hanging chads?
9 posted on 05/06/2007 7:22:33 PM PDT by kempo (blA)
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To: anotherdubya
"My question is where will the hollywood wacko’s want to move to now?"

Beijing... All their hope and their dreams... and no God!

10 posted on 05/06/2007 7:23:14 PM PDT by nctexan
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Today’s French victory, is a blueprint for defeating leftists in 2008, in America.

Especially, if the nominee is Hillary. Drudge is really on the similarity between Royal and Hillary — except he’s pretty convinced Royal was a far better candidate than Hillary would be.

He could be right.

The US media is really going to spin hard for Hillary. The NYT is going to come out tomorrow with a lead on the French election, labeling the victorious conservative with a stream of buzzwords.

They seem to sense, the import of what has happened.

If even Europe, is losing their anti-Americanism, what are US democrats to do? Turn to Cuba?

If the NYT isn’t happy about what happened today in Paris, then what happened today in Paris, is probably a very good thing.

Welcome back France.


11 posted on 05/06/2007 7:29:55 PM PDT by Cringing Negativism Network (Mr. President: PARDON NACHO AND JOSE!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Defeated (French) Socialists search for scapegoats

I imagine French Jews are quite nervous at this prospect.

12 posted on 05/06/2007 7:48:45 PM PDT by Reaganesque
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
The French Socialists have resisted the need for change. They've become yesterday's party in France.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

13 posted on 05/06/2007 7:48:48 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Sound familiar? Shades of 2000. Hopefully Hillary, Obama, Edwards and their socialist party will meet the same fate.
:::
Sure does sound familiar. Rotten liberal socialists are the same everywhere — THEY ARE NEVER WRONG — always blame someone else for their life of failures. This is rare, and so perfect. Sets a good tone for a defeat of Hilterly’s socialism in 2008.


14 posted on 05/06/2007 8:01:23 PM PDT by EagleUSA
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To: MadJack

Maureen Dowd column? ...........”Example.....”


15 posted on 05/06/2007 8:03:33 PM PDT by Ieatfrijoles ("Some hams hanging in the kitchen were taken out for burial")
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
The DomonRats Should meet the same fate. Their words so far any different on their foray to the highest office the land that Socialist Royal’s were and how she and her supporters are handling the loss is what we can expect when the same happens to the DemonRats.
16 posted on 05/06/2007 8:13:58 PM PDT by SandRat (Duty, Honor, Country. What else needs to be said?)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I wouldn’t count the French left out, but it is interesting that after now decades of electoral losses, the Party cannot reform and realign itself.

This will be interesting to watch.


17 posted on 05/06/2007 8:14:44 PM PDT by bajabaja
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To: Army Air Corps
"I rather enjoyed the news photos of the weeping socialists with dejected expressions on their faces."

Where, where, where???

18 posted on 05/06/2007 8:19:54 PM PDT by StormEye
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To: StormEye

Oh it was on an earlier thread today. It showed a groups wearing red T-shirts and holding Royal posters. All of the weenies were teary-eyed and showed the signs of a crushed spirit. ‘Twas nice; I’ll look for it.


19 posted on 05/06/2007 8:22:01 PM PDT by Army Air Corps (Four fried chickens and a coke)
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To: StormEye
Here ya go.




20 posted on 05/06/2007 8:25:19 PM PDT by Army Air Corps (Four fried chickens and a coke)
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