Giuliani’s Lead Shrinks ("It was cold in the pool")

Moderate Voice ^ | 4/19/07

[Mr. Brightside]

Giuliani’s Lead Shrinks

By Michael van der Galien

Bad news for Rudy Giuliani: his lead in the polls is shrinking quite dramatically. The main cause seems to be… (growing) support for Fred Thompson - who still has to announce his candidacy. Where, in February, “44 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents preferred” him for the nomination, “that figure is [now] down to 33 percent.”

McCain, meanwhile, holds steady at 21 percent, Fred Thompson “ran third in this poll, with 9 percent, tying him with former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney.”

Romney, in other words, is rising in the polls. To be frank, I find it surprising that his numbers are still, relatively, low. Romney is a terrific CEO, became Republican Governor of a Blue state and handled himself well. He saved the Olympic Games in Salt Lake City, which made him popular among quite some people (and gave him experience useful for a presidential candidate, to say the least).

Romney is, in my opinion, a good candidate. Better than most.

Support for him rising, and I am sure that it will continue to rise.

That being said, he has one major problem: 44% said they would definitely not vote for him.

44%.

Considering his resumé on the one hand, and the fact that most people don’t know much about him on the other, leads me to believe that these individuals have a problem with Romney… because of his faith. That, I have to say, is something I find quite appalling. He is a Mormon: so what?

McCain has a major problem as well in this regard: where he was first popular among Republican leaning independents and, yes, even among Democrats, that has now changed: 47 percent of those asked said that they would definitely not vote for him.

This means that McCain is now a more-polarizing figure than Hillary Clinton: 45% of Americans said that they would definitely not vote for her.

Talking about Hillary Clinton: as said, she still - easily - leads the pack in the polls. Her numbers remain the same: 37 percent (against 36% in February) of Democratic voters say they intend to vote for the former First Lady. Barack Obama is falling behind with 20% - down from 24%. Al Gore - who has not announced his candidacy yet - received the support of 17% of Democratic (leaning) voters. John Edwards is in fourth place with 14%.

[RGRX]

QUOTE” Even if Rudy Giuliani is not welcome in your house, I am sure all conservatives will always be welcome in his. He will have milk and chocolate chip cookies waiting for you.”

I doubt that, more like a big vat of Koolaide is what he has for conservatives.

[trisham]

Love your tagline, Mr. B. :)

[trisham]

Or, put simply, you do not have any core beliefs that you are not willing to compromise for the sake of winning a political race.

*************

Touché.

[showme_the_Glory]

Well, I have a PhD myself

I had always heard the academia was located in the party of liberal Dems. You are an anomaly?

[massadvj]

You are an anomaly?

Business professors like me are not typically leftists. Most are pragmatic Republicans.

[WFTR]

In fact, in Rudy's house, conservatives will be offered a warm blanket, hot chocolate and oatmeal cookies.

Unfortunately, that's a house where we must surrender our right to own guns in order to enter and must pay a cover charge that will go into an account that pays for abortions. It's a house where illegal aliens are welcome to come when they want without fear of local authorities cooperating with INS. When they fly planes into buildings, we're supposed to forget that the guy grabbing the headlines was part of the attitude that allowed them to be here to hijack our planes.

No thanks to your "invitation." Your invitation is no more inviting than the "invitations" issued by the jihadists.

Bill

[WFTR]

It is based on the assumption that the Giuliani path is the only path to Republican victory, an assumption that has yet to be disproven by a single poll or any other evidence whatsoever.

History shows that assumption to be unrealistic. The Republicans who win the White House are those who appeal to conservative "Reagan Democrats." These voters are not going to support a candidate who holds Giuliani's extremist liberal views on issues like gun control and abortion. Rudy Giuliani has very little chance of winning the general election. He would be the worst candidate that we could run against Hillary or any other Democrat.

Bill

[dforest]

PhD, Huh? Purposeful Hoodwinking Deceiver. Keep the cookies, we already get it.

[Darkwolf377]

I’m in Massachusetts right now, and one of my former roommates worked for and still works for Romney.

Your view of his performance here is mostly fiction.

Sorry, but it is. You’re buying into the hype.

[Manic_Episode]

"I accept I am in the minority at FR. But that will not stop me from posting my observations....."

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.....however astute.....or not. I don't blame you for laying low this month, all your botmates are gone.