Posted on 04/17/2007 7:01:30 AM PDT by areafiftyone
Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani and Arizona Senator John McCain both gained support this week in the race for the GOP nomination. Former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney held steady and remain the only other Republicans earning double digit support.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of the Republican Presidential Primary competition finds Giuliani at 33%, fourteen points ahead of McCain’s 19%. Thompson is still in third at 13% slightly ahead of Romney at 11%. For Giuliani, that’s his highest level of support in three weeks. It’s McCain’s best showing since early March. Last week, it was Giuliani 27% McCain 16% Thompson 14% and Romney 12%.
Rasmussen Reports releases updated polling data on the Republican nominating contest every Tuesday. Results for the Democrats are updated on Mondays. The current survey is based upon national telephone interviews with 824 Likely Republican Primary Voters conducted April 9-12, 2007. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich was consistently in third place before Thompson’s name was thrown into the ring. He is now in fifth place as and is the top choice for just 8% of those likely to vote in a Republican Primary. (More Below)
A separate survey found that 29% of all voters say they would definitely vote for Giuliani if he is on the ballot in November 2008. Thirty-four percent (34%) would definitely vote against him. Those numbers are a bit weaker for Giuliani than they were a month ago, but they are still the best of any Republican Presidential hopeful. For McCain, the numbers are 23% definitely for and 35% definitely against. Those figures have changed little over the past month.
Illinois Senator Barack Obama (D) draws the best overall numbers of any candidate at this time—33% definitely for and 33% definitely against.
Rasmussen Reports continuously updates favorability ratings and general election match-ups for all Democratic and Republican candidates. Also available are continuously updated ratings for Members of Congress, Other Political Figures, and Journalists.
32% doesn’t win elections. Even Mayor Linguine D-ck knows this. ;-)
It’s a party primary. 33% may win a party primary.
Agreed. It’s hard for an undeclared candidate to break 20% - but it looks as if Fred has put Newt out of the running and Mitt Romney (a declared candidate) is also a non-issue at this point.
actually, no, I think its more people then you think in that block. but the issue is - will it cause any states that Bush won, to flip to Hillary? Missouri is the one I would watch closely for example.
Hear, here!!
Maybe my memory is faulty, but hasn't Rudy had cancer too? Sorry that dog won't hunt. I know many believe Rudy is the right candidate, but he will not energize the base. There are too many in the Republican party who cannot support a socially liberal candidate, especially one who made NYC a safe haven for illegal aliens. I am not attacking those who support Rudy, or any other candidate. IN the Primaries, Fred gets my support, time and money. In the General, the Republican Nominee gets it (no matter how bad I dislike a candidate.)
Rudy has ho hum support among conservatives, so don't expect high turnout to support Mayor Greaseball. The man has ZERO positive qualities other than going after squeegee men and giving a glorified stump speech on the grounds of some burning buildings.
Him and his supporters can take their liberal principles and Turd World City and shove it up their metrosexual a-ses. Once Fred enters the race, Mayor Greaseball is done!
Giuliani has hard core support of only 29%.
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Well, 33% ain't exactly a majority, and he's slipped from the low-to-mid 40s that he used to be at. Statistically, this 33% is in the same margin as the 29% nadir reached by Rudy last week.
BTTT
For someone (Mr. Thompson) who hasn’t even announced his candidacy yet, I find his poll numbers to be extremely good. We just might get a true Republican candidate yet! Here’s to hopin’. :)
That sounds like a reasonable number to me. I figure about a quarter to 30% of the Republican party is made up of social liberals. It could be more than that, but I sure pray it isn't. They care about the WOT, but agree with liberals and/or don't even care when it comes to the social issues.
Exactly! The true one issue voters!
Spoken like a “True Conservative”?
Look, although I oppose Giuliani, I do not oppose his supporters and I will assume that they are supporting him because they believe he is in the best interest of the party and of the nation.
I would appreciate the same consideration. Whether you agree or not, people (including me) have real concerns that electing a Republican with Rudy's stances on the issues will cause more long-term harm to the GOP and the country -- because if he wins we will see many more candidates like him in the future, and the GOP's support for Constitutional government may be lost.
I would respectfully submit that you start respecting the motives of those with whom you disagree, especially if you want to change their minds. Calling people "sulkers" is insulting and counterproductive.
My suggestion, if you think the votes of people who can't support Giuliani may be decisive, is to nominate someone for whom they AND the Giuliani supporters can vote.
Best regards.
Indeed. The WOT is at the top of my list as the most serious threat we face as a nation, but I'm one of those people who isn't going to hop into bed with liberals when I know that if we all pulled together and supported a true conservative who also believes in the WOT, it's a win-win situation.
Giuliani sued to stop welfare reform?? I hadn’t heard that — do tell.
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